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Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Bolton badge Bolton
VS

Final result1–5

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Match Finished

Middlesbrough badge Middlesbrough
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or MiddlesbroughSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
BoltonProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MiddlesbroughProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Middlesbrough
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBoltonMiddlesbrough
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals8.0%92.0%
Total40.6%59.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Bolton

Recent form (last 5): W W L W D

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Middlesbrough

Recent form (last 5): D D W W D

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Middlesbrough 3–0 Bolton (20 Jul 2024)
  2. Bolton 1–3 Middlesbrough (29 Aug 2023)
  3. Bolton 0–2 Middlesbrough (09 Apr 2019)
  4. Middlesbrough 2–0 Bolton (19 Sep 2018)
  5. Middlesbrough 2–0 Bolton (26 Dec 2017)
  6. Bolton 0–3 Middlesbrough (09 Sep 2017)
  7. Bolton 1–2 Middlesbrough (16 Apr 2016)
  8. Middlesbrough 3–0 Bolton (15 Aug 2015)
  9. Middlesbrough 1–0 Bolton (24 Feb 2015)
  10. Bolton 1–2 Middlesbrough (19 Aug 2014)

Bolton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bolton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026SouthamptonAway0–0Draw
13 Oct 2026WolvesAway3–1Won
10 Oct 2026Stoke CityHome1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026NorwichAway4–3Won
12 Sep 2026CardiffHome1–0Won
Bolton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bolton performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Bolton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away9
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away11
Goals against total18
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.56%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Middlesbrough recent matches

Scores below are shown as Middlesbrough goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026CardiffHome2–2Draw
13 Oct 2026Stoke CityAway3–2Won
10 Oct 2026WolvesHome1–0Won
19 Sep 2026BirminghamAway2–2Draw
15 Sep 2026MillwallHome2–2Draw
Middlesbrough detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Middlesbrough performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Middlesbrough goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away8
Goals for total22
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage29.17%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.83%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.83%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away7
Goals against total16
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bolton predictions and analysis, Middlesbrough match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.