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Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga Pro, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga Pro

Libertad badge Libertad
VS

Final result3–0

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne

Match Finished

Leones del Norte badge Leones del Norte
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Libertad or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
LibertadProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Leones del NorteProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Libertad
Betting advice
Double chance : Libertad or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLibertadLeones del Norte
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total45.8%54.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Libertad

Recent form (last 5): L D W L W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Leones del Norte

Recent form (last 5): L W D L D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte (04 Jul 2026)
  2. Leones del Norte 1–1 Libertad (28 Feb 2026)

Libertad recent matches

Scores below are shown as Libertad goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026EmelecAway2–1Won
14 Sep 2026Independiente del ValleHome2–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Deportivo CuencaAway1–0Won
04 Sep 2026EmelecHome1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026AucasAway0–1Lost
Libertad detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Libertad performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home8
Wins away4
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away7
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Libertad goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away15
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage2.78%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.89%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away20
Goals against total35
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.57%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Leones del Norte recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leones del Norte goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Guayaquil City FCAway1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Tecnico UniversitarioHome0–1Lost
08 Sep 2026Mushuc Runa SCAway1–1Draw
03 Sep 2026Orense SCHome1–0Won
31 Aug 2026EmelecAway1–2Lost
Leones del Norte detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leones del Norte performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home4
Losses away7
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Leones del Norte goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away14
Goals for total32
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.21%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage24.24%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.15%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.15%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.15%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away20
Goals against total33
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Libertad predictions and analysis, Leones del Norte match tips, or more Liga Pro predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.