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Libertad vs Emelec Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga Pro, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Liga Pro

Libertad badge Libertad
VS

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne

Emelec badge Emelec
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Libertad or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
LibertadProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
EmelecProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Libertad
Betting advice
Double chance : Libertad or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLibertadEmelec
Form77.0%23.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total62.7%37.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Libertad

Recent form (last 5): W W W L D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Emelec

Recent form (last 5): L L W L L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Emelec 1–2 Libertad (20 Sep 2026)
  2. Libertad 1–1 Emelec (04 Sep 2026)
  3. Emelec 1–1 Libertad (10 May 2026)
  4. Libertad 1–2 Emelec (04 Aug 2025)
  5. Emelec 1–1 Libertad (12 Apr 2025)
  6. Libertad 2–1 Emelec (30 Nov 2024)
  7. Emelec 0–0 Libertad (02 Jun 2024)
  8. Libertad 0–0 Emelec (05 Aug 2023)
  9. Emelec 2–0 Libertad (27 Feb 2023)

Libertad recent matches

Scores below are shown as Libertad goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Guayaquil City FCAway0–0Draw
25 Oct 2026Leones del NorteAway1–4Lost
17 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FCHome4–0Won
09 Oct 2026Leones del NorteHome3–0Won
20 Sep 2026EmelecAway2–1Won
Libertad detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Libertad performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total35
Wins home10
Wins away4
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away6
Draws total9
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Libertad goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away16
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage2.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.95%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.93%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.95%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.93%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.58%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away24
Goals against total39
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.64%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Emelec recent matches

Scores below are shown as Emelec goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Leones del NorteHome0–2Lost
25 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FCHome0–1Lost
18 Oct 2026Leones del NorteAway3–1Won
10 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FCAway2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026LibertadHome1–2Lost
Emelec detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Emelec performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total35
Wins home8
Wins away3
Wins total11
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home6
Losses away9
Losses total15
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away6-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Emelec goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away13
Goals for total31
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage3.13%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.13%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total4
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away25
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage2.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.28%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.93%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.28%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.26%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.98%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Libertad predictions and analysis, Emelec match tips, or more Liga Pro predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.