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Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga Pro, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga Pro

Leones del Norte badge Leones del Norte
VS

Final result4–1

Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium

Match Finished

Libertad badge Libertad
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or LibertadSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Leones del NorteProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LibertadProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Libertad
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Libertad

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLeones del NorteLibertad
Form14.0%86.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total35.5%64.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Leones del Norte

Recent form (last 5): D L D L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Libertad

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Libertad 3–0 Leones del Norte (09 Oct 2026)
  2. Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte (04 Jul 2026)
  3. Leones del Norte 1–1 Libertad (28 Feb 2026)

Leones del Norte recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leones del Norte goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026EmelecHome1–3Lost
09 Oct 2026LibertadAway0–3Lost
19 Sep 2026Guayaquil City FCAway1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Tecnico UniversitarioHome0–1Lost
08 Sep 2026Mushuc Runa SCAway1–1Draw
Leones del Norte detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leones del Norte performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Leones del Norte goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away14
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.59%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage32.35%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage8.82%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away23
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.16%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.42%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage13.16%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total7
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage18.42%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Libertad recent matches

Scores below are shown as Libertad goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FCHome4–0Won
09 Oct 2026Leones del NorteHome3–0Won
20 Sep 2026EmelecAway2–1Won
14 Sep 2026Independiente del ValleHome2–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Deportivo CuencaAway1–0Won
Libertad detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Libertad performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home10
Wins away4
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away7
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Libertad goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away15
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage2.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.19%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.38%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away20
Goals against total35
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.57%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Leones del Norte predictions and analysis, Libertad match tips, or more Liga Pro predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.