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Emelec vs Leones del Norte Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga Pro, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga Pro

Emelec badge Emelec
VS

Final result0–2

Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell

Match Finished

Leones del Norte badge Leones del Norte
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Emelec or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
EmelecProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Leones del NorteProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Emelec
Betting advice
Double chance : Emelec or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorEmelecLeones del Norte
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total56.5%43.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Emelec

Recent form (last 5): L L L W L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Leones del Norte

Recent form (last 5): L D L L W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Leones del Norte 1–3 Emelec (18 Oct 2026)
  2. Emelec 2–1 Leones del Norte (31 Aug 2026)
  3. Leones del Norte 2–0 Emelec (04 May 2026)
  4. Leones del Norte 0–0 Emelec (08 Oct 2025)

Emelec recent matches

Scores below are shown as Emelec goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FCHome0–1Lost
18 Oct 2026Leones del NorteAway3–1Won
10 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FCAway2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026LibertadHome1–2Lost
13 Sep 2026MacaraAway0–1Lost
Emelec detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Emelec performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home8
Wins away3
Wins total11
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home5
Losses away9
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away6-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Emelec goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away13
Goals for total31
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage3.13%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.13%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total4
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away25
Goals against total41
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage2.44%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Leones del Norte recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leones del Norte goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026LibertadHome4–1Won
18 Oct 2026EmelecHome1–3Lost
09 Oct 2026LibertadAway0–3Lost
19 Sep 2026Guayaquil City FCAway1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Tecnico UniversitarioHome0–1Lost
Leones del Norte detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leones del Norte performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home7
Wins away4
Wins total11
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Leones del Norte goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away14
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.89%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.42%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage31.58%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage5.26%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total4
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage10.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away23
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.13%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total7
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage17.95%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Emelec predictions and analysis, Leones del Norte match tips, or more Liga Pro predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.