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Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Independiente Medellin badge Independiente Medellin
VS

Final result0–1

Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagüí

Match Finished

Santa Fe badge Santa Fe
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Santa FeSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Santa FeProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Santa Fe
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Santa Fe

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndependiente MedellinSanta Fe
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total41.3%58.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): L D W L D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Santa Fe

Recent form (last 5): D W W L W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Santa Fe 2–1 Independiente Medellin (23 Mar 2026)
  2. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Santa Fe (21 Oct 2025)
  3. Santa Fe 0–3 Independiente Medellin (02 Oct 2025)
  4. Independiente Medellin 1–2 Santa Fe (25 Sep 2025)
  5. Santa Fe —–— Independiente Medellin (17 Sep 2025)
  6. Independiente Medellin 1–2 Santa Fe (30 Jun 2025)
  7. Santa Fe 0–0 Independiente Medellin (25 Jun 2025)
  8. Santa Fe 1–2 Independiente Medellin (15 Apr 2025)
  9. Santa Fe 1–1 Independiente Medellin (19 Oct 2024)
  10. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Santa Fe (11 Feb 2024)

Independiente Medellin recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente Medellin goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Sep 2026MillonariosHome2–2Draw
27 Sep 2026JuniorAway0–2Lost
23 Sep 2026JaguaresHome2–1Won
18 Sep 2026BucaramangaAway2–2Draw
13 Sep 2026ChicoAway1–2Lost
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total30
Wins home8
Wins away5
Wins total13
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home5
Losses away5
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away20
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away19
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.68%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage31.58%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.89%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.79%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Santa Fe recent matches

Scores below are shown as Santa Fe goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Sep 2026Deportivo PereiraAway2–1Won
26 Sep 2026Union MagdalenaAway1–1Draw
23 Sep 2026Deportivo CaliHome0–1Lost
19 Sep 2026Alianza ValleduparAway4–1Won
16 Sep 2026Vasco DA GamaAway0–2Lost
Santa Fe detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Santa Fe performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total34
Wins home8
Wins away5
Wins total13
Draws home7
Draws away8
Draws total15
Losses home3
Losses away3
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Santa Fe goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home32
Goals for total away21
Goals for total53
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away18
Goals against total36
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.16%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.95%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Independiente Medellin predictions and analysis, Santa Fe match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.