Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

VS

Final result0–2

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Independiente Medellin or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Once CaldasProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Independiente Medellin
Betting advice
Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndependiente MedellinOnce Caldas
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson45.0%55.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total56.8%43.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): W L D L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Once Caldas

Recent form (last 5): W L L D W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Once Caldas 1–1 Independiente Medellin (03 Apr 2026)
  2. Once Caldas 1–5 Independiente Medellin (14 Oct 2025)
  3. Independiente Medellin 2–0 Once Caldas (20 Apr 2025)
  4. Once Caldas 0–2 Independiente Medellin (28 Sep 2024)
  5. Independiente Medellin 1–2 Once Caldas (17 Mar 2024)
  6. Once Caldas 2–2 Independiente Medellin (01 Oct 2023)
  7. Independiente Medellin 2–2 Once Caldas (12 May 2023)
  8. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Once Caldas (24 Jul 2022)
  9. Once Caldas 2–1 Independiente Medellin (05 Feb 2022)
  10. Independiente Medellin 3–1 Once Caldas (18 Sep 2021)

Independiente Medellin recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente Medellin goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Oct 2026Atletico NacionalAway2–3Lost
12 Oct 2026America de CaliAway2–1Won
06 Oct 2026Santa FeHome0–1Lost
30 Sep 2026MillonariosHome2–2Draw
27 Sep 2026JuniorAway0–2Lost
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total32
Wins home8
Wins away6
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home6
Losses away5
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away22
Goals for total47
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.83%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.08%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away20
Goals against total41
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage29.27%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.32%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.07%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Once Caldas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Once Caldas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026LlanerosHome1–0Won
04 Oct 2026Internacional de BogotaAway1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026BucaramangaHome1–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Deportivo PastoAway0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026Deportes TolimaHome1–0Won
Once Caldas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Once Caldas performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home9
Wins away3
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away11
Draws total14
Losses home5
Losses away3
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Once Caldas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home29
Goals for total away20
Goals for total49
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total11
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.92%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.17%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.42%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.08%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away20
Goals against total41
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.90%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.81%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Independiente Medellin predictions and analysis, Once Caldas match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.