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Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Independiente Medellin badge Independiente Medellin
VS

Final result2–2

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

Millonarios badge Millonarios
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or MillonariosSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MillonariosProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Millonarios
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Millonarios

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndependiente MedellinMillonarios
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): W L D W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Millonarios

Recent form (last 5): D D W W D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Millonarios 0–0 Independiente Medellin (02 Feb 2026)
  2. Independiente Medellin 1–0 Millonarios (04 Aug 2025)
  3. Millonarios 0–1 Independiente Medellin (16 Feb 2025)
  4. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Millonarios (19 Jul 2024)
  5. Millonarios 5–0 Independiente Medellin (21 Jan 2024)
  6. Independiente Medellin 2–1 Millonarios (01 Dec 2023)
  7. Millonarios 1–0 Independiente Medellin (26 Nov 2023)
  8. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Millonarios (19 Sep 2023)
  9. Millonarios 2–1 Independiente Medellin (18 Jun 2023)
  10. Independiente Medellin 2–2 Millonarios (21 May 2023)

Independiente Medellin recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente Medellin goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026JuniorAway0–2Lost
23 Sep 2026JaguaresHome2–1Won
18 Sep 2026BucaramangaAway2–2Draw
13 Sep 2026ChicoAway1–2Lost
10 Sep 2026Deportivo PastoAway4–1Won
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home8
Wins away5
Wins total13
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away5
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away20
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.30%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.95%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.91%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away19
Goals against total37
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage24.32%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage29.73%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.22%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Millonarios recent matches

Scores below are shown as Millonarios goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026Atletico NacionalAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026ChicoHome3–0Won
14 Sep 2026CucutaAway2–1Won
11 Sep 2026Deportivo CaliHome1–1Draw
07 Sep 2026Deportivo PereiraAway1–1Draw
Millonarios detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Millonarios performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home8
Wins away4
Wins total12
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home2
Losses away7
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Millonarios goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away22
Goals for total47
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.58%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage29.17%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.58%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.83%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away23
Goals against total32
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.38%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.88%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.88%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.88%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.75%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Independiente Medellin predictions and analysis, Millonarios match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.