Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

VS

Final result2–1

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Independiente Medellin or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
JaguaresProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Independiente Medellin
Betting advice
Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndependiente MedellinJaguares
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total63.0%37.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): L W W L D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Jaguares

Recent form (last 5): D W D D D

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Jaguares 1–2 Independiente Medellin (16 Mar 2026)
  2. Jaguares 0–1 Independiente Medellin (08 Aug 2025)
  3. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Jaguares (01 Aug 2025)
  4. Independiente Medellin 4–1 Jaguares (29 Oct 2024)
  5. Jaguares 2–2 Independiente Medellin (08 Apr 2024)
  6. Jaguares 1–1 Independiente Medellin (02 Sep 2023)
  7. Independiente Medellin 1–0 Jaguares (20 Mar 2023)
  8. Independiente Medellin 0–0 Jaguares (23 Oct 2022)
  9. Jaguares 3–0 Independiente Medellin (08 May 2022)
  10. Jaguares 0–1 Independiente Medellin (11 Sep 2021)
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total27
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away4
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away20
Goals for total41
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away17
Goals against total34
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.86%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage31.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27
Jaguares detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Jaguares performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total27
Wins home6
Wins away0
Wins total6
Draws home4
Draws away3
Draws total7
Losses home5
Losses away9
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Jaguares goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away9
Goals for total29
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away27
Goals against total47
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage19.57%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.22%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.87%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage19.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Independiente Medellin predictions and analysis, Jaguares match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.