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Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Independiente Medellin badge Independiente Medellin
VS

Final result2–1

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

Alianza Valledupar badge Alianza Valledupar
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Independiente Medellin or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Alianza ValleduparProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Independiente Medellin
Betting advice
Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndependiente MedellinAlianza Valledupar
Form30.0%70.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson63.0%37.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total49.2%50.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): L W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Alianza Valledupar

Recent form (last 5): L D W W L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Alianza Valledupar (13 Jul 2025)
  3. Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Independiente Medellin (27 Jan 2025)
  4. Independiente Medellin 2–0 Alianza Valledupar (11 Oct 2024)
  5. Alianza Valledupar 2–0 Independiente Medellin (25 Feb 2024)
  6. Independiente Medellin 2–1 Alianza Valledupar (21 Aug 2023)
  7. Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Independiente Medellin (27 Feb 2023)
  8. Independiente Medellin 3–1 Alianza Valledupar (01 Oct 2022)
  9. Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Independiente Medellin (11 Apr 2022)
  10. Alianza Valledupar 3–0 Independiente Medellin (27 Oct 2021)

Independiente Medellin recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente Medellin goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026Internacional de BogotaAway1–3Lost
26 Oct 2026Atletico NacionalAway1–2Lost
18 Oct 2026Once CaldasHome0–2Lost
15 Oct 2026Atletico NacionalAway2–3Lost
12 Oct 2026America de CaliAway2–1Won
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total35
Wins home8
Wins away6
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home7
Losses away7
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away24
Goals for total49
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home23
Goals against total away25
Goals against total48
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.42%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.83%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total13
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.08%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.08%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Alianza Valledupar recent matches

Scores below are shown as Alianza Valledupar goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026Once CaldasAway0–1Lost
25 Oct 2026Internacional de BogotaHome1–0Won
20 Oct 2026Deportivo PastoAway1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Águilas DoradasHome2–2Draw
03 Oct 2026Deportivo CaliAway1–3Lost
Alianza Valledupar detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Alianza Valledupar performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total35
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home8
Draws away3
Draws total11
Losses home6
Losses away10
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away9
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Alianza Valledupar goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away12
Goals for total29
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.90%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage27.59%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.79%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.79%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under35
Goals against total home26
Goals against total away28
Goals against total54
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.41%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total14
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.93%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.96%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.52%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.37%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Independiente Medellin predictions and analysis, Alianza Valledupar match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.