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Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Chico badge Chico
VS

Final result1–4

Estadio La Independencia

Match Finished

Atletico Nacional badge Atletico Nacional
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Atletico NacionalSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
ChicoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Atletico NacionalProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Nacional
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChicoAtletico Nacional
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals27.0%73.0%
Total38.5%61.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Chico

Recent form (last 5): L L W D L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Atletico Nacional

Recent form (last 5): W L D W D

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Nacional 4–0 Chico (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Chico 1–1 Atletico Nacional (06 Oct 2025)
  3. Atletico Nacional 4–1 Chico (17 Apr 2025)
  4. Atletico Nacional 6–2 Chico (29 Sep 2024)
  5. Chico 2–1 Atletico Nacional (18 Mar 2024)
  6. Chico 1–3 Atletico Nacional (22 Oct 2023)
  7. Atletico Nacional 3–1 Chico (07 May 2023)
  8. Atletico Nacional 2–0 Chico (07 Feb 2021)
  9. Chico 0–3 Atletico Nacional (12 Feb 2020)
  10. Atletico Nacional 3–2 Chico (01 Oct 2018)

Chico recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chico goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026CucutaHome0–1Lost
03 Oct 2026Deportes TolimaAway0–0Draw
26 Sep 2026Deportivo PastoHome3–0Won
19 Sep 2026MillonariosAway0–3Lost
16 Sep 2026Alianza ValleduparHome1–2Lost
Chico detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chico performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home8
Wins away0
Wins total8
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home5
Losses away13
Losses total18
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away7-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away7
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away13
Failed to score total18
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Chico goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away4
Goals for total25
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.86%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.71%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.86%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.71%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.86%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away42
Goals against total51
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Atletico Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09 Oct 2026Deportes TolimaHome0–0Draw
01 Oct 2026JuniorHome3–1Won
26 Sep 2026Chapecoense-scHome1–1Draw
25 Sep 2026MillonariosHome1–1Draw
21 Sep 2026LlanerosAway0–2Lost
Atletico Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Nacional performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away19
Fixtures played total36
Wins home14
Wins away11
Wins total25
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away8
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home7-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage71.43%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage28.57%
Penalty total7

Atletico Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home41
Goals for total away29
Goals for total70
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.18%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total15
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.06%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total17
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away23
Goals against total31
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage24.24%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage24.24%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.06%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.12%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under34
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under36
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under36

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chico predictions and analysis, Atletico Nacional match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.