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Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Atletico Nacional badge Atletico Nacional
VS

Final result2–0

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

Santa Fe badge Santa Fe
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Atletico Nacional or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Atletico NacionalProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Santa FeProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Nacional
Betting advice
Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico NacionalSanta Fe
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total58.2%41.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Nacional

Recent form (last 5): D W L W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Santa Fe

Recent form (last 5): W W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Santa Fe 1–2 Atletico Nacional (26 Feb 2026)
  2. Atletico Nacional 1–1 Santa Fe (26 Jul 2025)
  3. Santa Fe 1–2 Atletico Nacional (13 Jun 2025)
  4. Atletico Nacional 1–2 Santa Fe (08 Jun 2025)
  5. Santa Fe 2–2 Atletico Nacional (13 Feb 2025)
  6. Santa Fe 0–3 Atletico Nacional (09 Dec 2024)
  7. Atletico Nacional 5–0 Santa Fe (21 Nov 2024)
  8. Atletico Nacional 1–1 Santa Fe (05 Nov 2024)
  9. Santa Fe 0–0 Atletico Nacional (13 Apr 2024)
  10. Atletico Nacional 3–0 Santa Fe (21 Sep 2023)

Atletico Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Oct 2026Independiente MedellinHome2–1Won
23 Oct 2026Deportivo PastoHome3–0Won
21 Oct 2026CucutaAway0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026ChicoAway4–1Won
15 Oct 2026Independiente MedellinHome3–2Won
Atletico Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Nacional performance

Fixtures played home19
Fixtures played away21
Fixtures played total40
Wins home16
Wins away12
Wins total28
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away9
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home7-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home10
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away9
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage71.43%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage28.57%
Penalty total7

Atletico Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home46
Goals for total away33
Goals for total79
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.82%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.95%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total16
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total20
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under34
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under38
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away25
Goals against total34
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage22.86%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.86%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under38
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under40
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under40

Santa Fe recent matches

Scores below are shown as Santa Fe goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026BucaramangaHome2–1Won
22 Oct 2026JaguaresHome2–1Won
19 Oct 2026LlanerosAway0–1Lost
11 Oct 2026Fortaleza FCHome2–2Draw
06 Oct 2026Independiente MedellinAway1–0Won
Santa Fe detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Santa Fe performance

Fixtures played home20
Fixtures played away18
Fixtures played total38
Wins home10
Wins away6
Wins total16
Draws home7
Draws away7
Draws total14
Losses home3
Losses away5
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Santa Fe goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home36
Goals for total away22
Goals for total58
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.30%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.04%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.54%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage1.75%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over32
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under37
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away20
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.88%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage7.32%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.39%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over31
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under37
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under38
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under38

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Nacional predictions and analysis, Santa Fe match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.