FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Atletico Nacional badge Atletico Nacional
VS

Final result2–1

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

Independiente Medellin badge Independiente Medellin
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Atletico Nacional or drawSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
Atletico NacionalProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Nacional
Betting advice
Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals64.0%36.0%
Total72.3%27.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Nacional

Recent form (last 5): D W D W L

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): L D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Nacional 3–2 Independiente Medellin (15 Oct 2026)
  2. Independiente Medellin 2–3 Atletico Nacional (12 Apr 2026)
  3. Independiente Medellin 0–1 Atletico Nacional (18 Dec 2025)
  4. Atletico Nacional 0–0 Independiente Medellin (13 Dec 2025)
  5. Atletico Nacional 2–1 Independiente Medellin (05 Dec 2025)
  6. Independiente Medellin 0–0 Atletico Nacional (23 Nov 2025)
  7. Atletico Nacional 5–2 Independiente Medellin (27 Oct 2025)
  8. Independiente Medellin 3–3 Atletico Nacional (08 Sep 2025)
  9. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Atletico Nacional (04 May 2025)
  10. Atletico Nacional 1–1 Independiente Medellin (23 Mar 2025)

Atletico Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026CucutaAway0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026ChicoAway4–1Won
15 Oct 2026Independiente MedellinHome3–2Won
09 Oct 2026Deportes TolimaHome0–0Draw
01 Oct 2026JuniorHome3–1Won
Atletico Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Nacional performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away21
Fixtures played total38
Wins home14
Wins away12
Wins total26
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away9
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home7-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away9
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage71.43%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage28.57%
Penalty total7

Atletico Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home41
Goals for total away33
Goals for total74
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.96%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.70%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.44%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total15
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.55%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total19
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.03%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under36
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away25
Goals against total33
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.71%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.71%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under36
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under38
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under38

Independiente Medellin recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente Medellin goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Once CaldasHome0–2Lost
15 Oct 2026Atletico NacionalAway2–3Lost
12 Oct 2026America de CaliAway2–1Won
06 Oct 2026Santa FeHome0–1Lost
30 Sep 2026MillonariosHome2–2Draw
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home18
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total33
Wins home8
Wins away6
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home7
Losses away5
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away22
Goals for total47
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.83%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.08%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home23
Goals against total away20
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.63%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.93%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total13
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage30.23%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.63%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.30%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.28%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Nacional predictions and analysis, Independiente Medellin match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.