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Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera A

Atletico Nacional badge Atletico Nacional
VS

Final result3–0

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

Deportivo Pasto badge Deportivo Pasto
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Atletico NacionalSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Atletico NacionalProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Deportivo PastoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Nacional
Betting advice
Winner : Atletico Nacional

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack69.0%31.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson83.0%17.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total69.5%30.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Nacional

Recent form (last 5): W W L D W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Deportivo Pasto

Recent form (last 5): D W W L D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional (30 Mar 2026)
  2. Deportivo Pasto 2–2 Atletico Nacional (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo Pasto (30 Apr 2025)
  4. Atletico Nacional 2–1 Deportivo Pasto (06 Dec 2024)
  5. Deportivo Pasto 0–1 Atletico Nacional (24 Nov 2024)
  6. Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional (07 Oct 2024)
  7. Atletico Nacional 1–0 Deportivo Pasto (25 Mar 2024)
  8. Atletico Nacional 2–0 Deportivo Pasto (26 Aug 2023)
  9. Atletico Nacional 3–2 Deportivo Pasto (18 Jun 2023)
  10. Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Atletico Nacional (21 May 2023)

Atletico Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026JuniorHome3–1Won
26 Sep 2026Chapecoense-scHome1–1Draw
25 Sep 2026MillonariosHome1–1Draw
21 Sep 2026LlanerosAway0–2Lost
17 Sep 2026Internacional de BogotaAway3–2Won
Atletico Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Nacional performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away19
Fixtures played total35
Wins home14
Wins away11
Wins total25
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away8
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home7-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage71.43%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage28.57%
Penalty total7

Atletico Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home41
Goals for total away29
Goals for total70
Goals for average home2.60
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.12%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total15
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.06%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total17
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away23
Goals against total31
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage24.24%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.21%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.21%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.06%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.12%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under35
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under35

Deportivo Pasto recent matches

Scores below are shown as Deportivo Pasto goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026Fortaleza FCHome0–0Draw
26 Sep 2026ChicoAway0–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Once CaldasHome1–0Won
15 Sep 2026America de CaliAway1–0Won
10 Sep 2026Independiente MedellinHome1–4Lost
Deportivo Pasto detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Deportivo Pasto performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home7
Losses away7
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses9
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Deportivo Pasto goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away21
Goals for total38
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.16%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.05%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage2.63%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage36.84%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away29
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.70%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.57%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total13
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.26%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage13.04%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Nacional predictions and analysis, Deportivo Pasto match tips, or more Primera A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.