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Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Copa Colombia, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Copa Colombia

Atletico Nacional badge Atletico Nacional
VS

Final result3–2

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Match Finished

Independiente Medellin badge Independiente Medellin
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Atletico Nacional or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Atletico NacionalProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Independiente MedellinProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Nacional
Betting advice
Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total60.3%39.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Nacional

Recent form (last 5): W W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Independiente Medellin

Recent form (last 5): W D D W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Independiente Medellin 2–3 Atletico Nacional (12 Apr 2026)
  2. Independiente Medellin 0–1 Atletico Nacional (18 Dec 2025)
  3. Atletico Nacional 0–0 Independiente Medellin (13 Dec 2025)
  4. Atletico Nacional 2–1 Independiente Medellin (05 Dec 2025)
  5. Independiente Medellin 0–0 Atletico Nacional (23 Nov 2025)
  6. Atletico Nacional 5–2 Independiente Medellin (27 Oct 2025)
  7. Independiente Medellin 3–3 Atletico Nacional (08 Sep 2025)
  8. Independiente Medellin 1–1 Atletico Nacional (04 May 2025)
  9. Atletico Nacional 1–1 Independiente Medellin (23 Mar 2025)
  10. Independiente Medellin 1–0 Atletico Nacional (18 Nov 2024)

Atletico Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09 Oct 2026Deportes TolimaHome0–0Draw
01 Oct 2026JuniorHome3–1Won
26 Sep 2026Chapecoense-scHome1–1Draw
25 Sep 2026MillonariosHome1–1Draw
21 Sep 2026LlanerosAway0–2Lost
Atletico Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Nacional performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total3
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Atletico Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away2
Goals for total7
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage42.86%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Independiente Medellin recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente Medellin goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026America de CaliAway2–1Won
06 Oct 2026Santa FeHome0–1Lost
30 Sep 2026MillonariosHome2–2Draw
27 Sep 2026JuniorAway0–2Lost
23 Sep 2026JaguaresHome2–1Won
Independiente Medellin detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente Medellin performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Independiente Medellin goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away6
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage75.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Nacional predictions and analysis, Independiente Medellin match tips, or more Copa Colombia predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.