York United vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Canadian Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Canadian Premier League

VS

Final result2–1

York Lions Stadium

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Atlético Ottawa and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
York UnitedProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Atlético OttawaProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atlético Ottawa
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Ottawa and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorYork UnitedAtlético Ottawa
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals57.0%43.0%
Total43.7%56.3%

Team form and goal analysis

York United

Recent form (last 5): L W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Atlético Ottawa

Recent form (last 5): L W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United (29 Aug 2026)
  2. Atlético Ottawa 1–1 York United (18 Jul 2026)
  3. York United 4–1 Atlético Ottawa (02 May 2026)
  4. York United 2–2 Atlético Ottawa (14 Sep 2025)
  5. Atlético Ottawa 0–0 York United (03 Aug 2025)
  6. York United 3–4 Atlético Ottawa (09 Jul 2025)
  7. York United 0–0 Atlético Ottawa (22 Jun 2025)
  8. Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United (12 Jun 2025)
  9. Atlético Ottawa 3–2 York United (19 Apr 2025)
  10. Atlético Ottawa 2–2 York United (27 Oct 2024)

York United recent matches

Scores below are shown as York United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Supra du QuebecAway0–3Lost
12 Oct 2026ForgeAway0–5Lost
07 Oct 2026Supra du QuebecHome1–2Lost
03 Oct 2026Cavalry FCHome3–1Won
27 Sep 2026Pacific FCHome3–4Lost
York United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

York United performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home5
Wins away1
Wins total6
Draws home3
Draws away6
Draws total9
Losses home5
Losses away7
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

York United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away12
Goals for total40
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage27.03%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.03%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage5.41%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home30
Goals against total away34
Goals against total64
Goals against average home2.30
Goals against average away2.40
Goals against average total2.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.93%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.96%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total13
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.40%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.93%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total14
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.90%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.90%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Atlético Ottawa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atlético Ottawa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026ForgeHome1–2Lost
12 Oct 2026Pacific FCAway2–0Won
01 Oct 2026Cavalry FCHome3–2Won
26 Sep 2026HFX Wanderers FCAway1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Supra du QuebecHome0–2Lost
Atlético Ottawa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atlético Ottawa performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total27
Wins home8
Wins away5
Wins total13
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage60.00%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage40.00%
Penalty total5

Atlético Ottawa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away16
Goals for total41
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.90%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage38.10%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.38%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away24
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.90%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.52%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore York United predictions and analysis, Atlético Ottawa match tips, or more Canadian Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.