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Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Vasco DA Gama badge Vasco DA Gama
VS

Final result3–2

São Januário

Match Finished

Corinthians badge Corinthians
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Vasco DA Gama or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Vasco DA GamaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
CorinthiansProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Vasco DA Gama
Betting advice
Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Form91.0%9.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2H7.0%93.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total53.7%46.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Vasco DA Gama

Recent form (last 5): W W W D L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Corinthians

Recent form (last 5): L L L L D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Corinthians 1–0 Vasco DA Gama (26 Apr 2026)
  2. Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Corinthians (21 Dec 2025)
  3. Corinthians 0–0 Vasco DA Gama (18 Dec 2025)
  4. Vasco DA Gama 2–3 Corinthians (24 Aug 2025)
  5. Corinthians 3–0 Vasco DA Gama (05 Apr 2025)
  6. Corinthians 3–1 Vasco DA Gama (24 Nov 2024)
  7. Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Corinthians (11 Jul 2024)
  8. Vasco DA Gama 2–4 Corinthians (29 Nov 2023)
  9. Corinthians 3–1 Vasco DA Gama (29 Jul 2023)
  10. Corinthians 0–0 Vasco DA Gama (21 Feb 2021)

Vasco DA Gama recent matches

Scores below are shown as Vasco DA Gama goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026Boca JuniorsHome1–3Lost
18 Oct 2026Sao PauloAway0–1Lost
14 Oct 2026Boca JuniorsAway1–0Won
10 Oct 2026RemoHome0–0Draw
08 Oct 2026BotafogoAway2–1Won
Vasco DA Gama detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Vasco DA Gama performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home7
Wins away2
Wins total9
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Vasco DA Gama goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away15
Goals for total36
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage2.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.95%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away25
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage4.88%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Corinthians recent matches

Scores below are shown as Corinthians goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Oct 2026VitoriaHome1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026PalmeirasAway1–4Lost
08 Oct 2026InternacionalAway1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026FluminenseHome1–3Lost
17 Sep 2026Estudiantes L.P.Home0–1Lost
Corinthians detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Corinthians performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home5
Wins away3
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home7
Losses away7
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses8
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Corinthians goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away16
Goals for total32
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage26.47%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.88%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away22
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.03%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.41%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.70%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Vasco DA Gama predictions and analysis, Corinthians match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.