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Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Sao Paulo badge Sao Paulo
VS

Final result2–1

Morumbi

Match Finished

Vitoria badge Vitoria
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Sao Paulo or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Sao PauloProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
VitoriaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sao Paulo
Betting advice
Double chance : Sao Paulo or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSao PauloVitoria
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson80.0%20.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total54.8%45.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Sao Paulo

Recent form (last 5): W L W L L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Vitoria

Recent form (last 5): L W D L W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo (07 Dec 2025)
  3. Sao Paulo 2–0 Vitoria (09 Aug 2025)
  4. Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria (25 Aug 2024)
  5. Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo (05 May 2024)
  6. Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo (27 Oct 2018)
  7. Sao Paulo 3–0 Vitoria (13 Jun 2018)
  8. Vitoria 1–2 Sao Paulo (17 Sep 2017)
  9. Sao Paulo 2–0 Vitoria (09 Jun 2017)
  10. Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo (25 Sep 2016)

Sao Paulo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sao Paulo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Oct 2026CruzeiroAway0–2Lost
03 Oct 2026SantosHome1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026InternacionalHome1–0Won
16 Sep 2026Boca JuniorsHome1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026PalmeirasAway0–2Lost
Sao Paulo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sao Paulo performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total29
Wins home8
Wins away2
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away10
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Sao Paulo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away11
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.13%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.13%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away22
Goals against total34
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage2.86%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.57%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Vitoria recent matches

Scores below are shown as Vitoria goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Oct 2026Chapecoense-scHome4–0Won
20 Sep 2026CruzeiroHome1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026MirassolAway2–2Draw
08 Sep 2026GremioHome1–0Won
03 Sep 2026Vasco DA GamaHome0–2Lost
Vitoria detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Vitoria performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home10
Wins away0
Wins total10
Draws home1
Draws away5
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away9
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home10
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Vitoria goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away10
Goals for total32
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.47%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.94%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away30
Goals against total42
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sao Paulo predictions and analysis, Vitoria match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.