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Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Sao Paulo badge Sao Paulo
VS

Final result1–0

Morumbi

Match Finished

Vasco DA Gama badge Vasco DA Gama
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Vasco DA GamaSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Sao PauloProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Vasco DA GamaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Vasco DA Gama
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSao PauloVasco DA Gama
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total42.5%57.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Sao Paulo

Recent form (last 5): L W L L W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Vasco DA Gama

Recent form (last 5): L W W W D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo (18 Apr 2026)
  2. Vasco DA Gama 0–2 Sao Paulo (03 Nov 2025)
  3. Sao Paulo 1–3 Vasco DA Gama (13 Jun 2025)
  4. Sao Paulo 3–0 Vasco DA Gama (17 Oct 2024)
  5. Vasco DA Gama 4–1 Sao Paulo (23 Jun 2024)
  6. Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Sao Paulo (07 Oct 2023)
  7. Sao Paulo 4–2 Vasco DA Gama (20 May 2023)
  8. Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Sao Paulo (05 Aug 2021)
  9. Sao Paulo 2–0 Vasco DA Gama (29 Jul 2021)
  10. Sao Paulo 1–1 Vasco DA Gama (22 Nov 2020)

Sao Paulo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sao Paulo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026VitoriaHome2–1Won
08 Oct 2026CruzeiroAway0–2Lost
03 Oct 2026SantosHome1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026InternacionalHome1–0Won
16 Sep 2026Boca JuniorsHome1–1Draw
Sao Paulo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sao Paulo performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home9
Wins away2
Wins total11
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away10
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Sao Paulo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home24
Goals for total away11
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.59%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage29.41%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.94%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away22
Goals against total35
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage2.78%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage38.89%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Vasco DA Gama recent matches

Scores below are shown as Vasco DA Gama goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14 Oct 2026Boca JuniorsAway1–0Won
10 Oct 2026RemoHome0–0Draw
08 Oct 2026BotafogoAway2–1Won
20 Sep 2026CoritibaHome5–0Won
16 Sep 2026Santa FeHome2–0Won
Vasco DA Gama detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Vasco DA Gama performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home7
Wins away2
Wins total9
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home5
Losses away7
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Vasco DA Gama goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away15
Goals for total36
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage2.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.95%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away24
Goals against total42
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.50%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sao Paulo predictions and analysis, Vasco DA Gama match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.