Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

VS

Final result1–2

Morumbi

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or SantosSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Sao PauloProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
SantosProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Santos
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Santos

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSao PauloSantos
Form41.0%59.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson62.0%38.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total49.2%50.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Sao Paulo

Recent form (last 5): L W W L W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Santos

Recent form (last 5): D W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Santos 1–1 Sao Paulo (05 Feb 2026)
  2. Sao Paulo 2–0 Santos (01 Feb 2026)
  3. Santos 1–0 Sao Paulo (22 Sep 2025)
  4. Sao Paulo 2–1 Santos (20 Apr 2025)
  5. Santos 3–1 Sao Paulo (02 Feb 2025)
  6. Sao Paulo 0–1 Santos (14 Feb 2024)
  7. Santos 0–0 Sao Paulo (12 Nov 2023)
  8. Sao Paulo 4–1 Santos (16 Jul 2023)
  9. Sao Paulo 3–1 Santos (12 Feb 2023)
  10. Santos 1–0 Sao Paulo (22 Aug 2022)

Sao Paulo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sao Paulo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026InternacionalHome1–0Won
16 Sep 2026Boca JuniorsHome1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026PalmeirasAway0–2Lost
09 Sep 2026Boca JuniorsAway0–1Lost
05 Sep 2026Atletico-MGHome2–0Won
Sao Paulo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sao Paulo performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home8
Wins away2
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home2
Losses away9
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Sao Paulo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away11
Goals for total32
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away20
Goals against total30
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage3.13%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage31.25%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Santos recent matches

Scores below are shown as Santos goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026RemoAway2–1Won
17 Sep 2026Atletico-MGAway2–4Lost
13 Sep 2026CruzeiroHome2–1Won
10 Sep 2026Atletico-MGHome2–0Won
06 Sep 2026InternacionalAway3–2Won
Santos detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Santos performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total27
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home4
Draws away4
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Santos goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away21
Goals for total41
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.65%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.26%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.95%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.93%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away22
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.89%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.16%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.58%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sao Paulo predictions and analysis, Santos match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.