FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Santos vs Bahia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Santos badge Santos
VS

Final result1–1

Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Match Finished

Bahia badge Bahia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Santos or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
SantosProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BahiaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Santos
Betting advice
Double chance : Santos or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSantosBahia
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack69.0%31.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson46.0%54.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total54.2%46.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Santos

Recent form (last 5): W W D L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Bahia

Recent form (last 5): W L L W L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bahia 2–2 Santos (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Bahia 2–0 Santos (24 Aug 2025)
  3. Santos 2–2 Bahia (07 Apr 2025)
  4. Bahia 1–2 Santos (19 Sep 2023)
  5. Bahia 1–1 Santos (01 Jun 2023)
  6. Santos 0–0 Bahia (18 May 2023)
  7. Santos 3–0 Bahia (11 May 2023)
  8. Santos 0–0 Bahia (12 Sep 2021)
  9. Bahia 3–0 Santos (30 May 2021)
  10. Bahia 2–0 Santos (26 Feb 2021)

Santos recent matches

Scores below are shown as Santos goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026FluminenseAway2–1Won
11 Oct 2026Atletico-MGAway1–2Lost
09 Oct 2026FlamengoHome2–2Draw
03 Oct 2026Sao PauloAway2–1Won
19 Sep 2026RemoAway2–1Won
Santos detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Santos performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home6
Wins away6
Wins total12
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total8
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total8

Santos goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away26
Goals for total48
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.08%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.24%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total15
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.61%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.24%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.49%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away26
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.89%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.78%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.78%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total5
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage11.11%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Bahia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bahia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026FlamengoHome0–3Lost
12 Oct 2026MirassolHome1–0Won
09 Oct 2026PalmeirasAway0–1Lost
21 Sep 2026Atletico ParanaenseAway1–2Lost
15 Sep 2026RemoHome2–1Won
Bahia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bahia performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home7
Wins away6
Wins total13
Draws home6
Draws away4
Draws total10
Losses home3
Losses away5
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws5
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total8
Penalty scored percentage72.73%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage27.27%
Penalty total11

Bahia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away21
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.91%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.45%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.36%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.36%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total6
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage13.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away22
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Santos predictions and analysis, Bahia match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.