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Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Palmeiras badge Palmeiras
VS

Final result1–0

Nubank Parque

Match Finished

Bahia badge Bahia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Palmeiras or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PalmeirasProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BahiaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Palmeiras
Betting advice
Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPalmeirasBahia
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack39.0%61.0%
Defence78.0%22.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total57.7%42.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Palmeiras

Recent form (last 5): W D D W D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Bahia

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bahia 1–2 Palmeiras (06 Apr 2026)
  2. Bahia 1–0 Palmeiras (28 Sep 2025)
  3. Palmeiras 0–1 Bahia (27 Apr 2025)
  4. Bahia 1–2 Palmeiras (20 Nov 2024)
  5. Palmeiras 2–0 Bahia (07 Jul 2024)
  6. Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia (29 Oct 2023)
  7. Bahia 1–0 Palmeiras (22 Jun 2023)
  8. Bahia 0–0 Palmeiras (13 Oct 2021)
  9. Palmeiras 3–2 Bahia (28 Jun 2021)
  10. Palmeiras 3–0 Bahia (12 Dec 2020)

Palmeiras recent matches

Scores below are shown as Palmeiras goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026GremioAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026LDU de QuitoAway2–3Lost
12 Sep 2026Sao PauloHome2–0Won
10 Sep 2026LDU de QuitoHome1–0Won
06 Sep 2026BotafogoAway0–0Draw
Palmeiras detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Palmeiras performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total28
Wins home9
Wins away7
Wins total16
Draws home3
Draws away6
Draws total9
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away7
Clean sheet total12
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Palmeiras goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away24
Goals for total47
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.22%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away12
Goals against total21
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage4.55%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.73%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage9.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Bahia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bahia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026Atletico ParanaenseAway1–2Lost
15 Sep 2026RemoHome2–1Won
05 Sep 2026RB BragantinoAway3–2Won
31 Aug 2026InternacionalHome3–2Won
23 Aug 2026VitoriaAway2–0Won
Bahia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bahia performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home6
Wins away6
Wins total12
Draws home6
Draws away4
Draws total10
Losses home2
Losses away4
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws5
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total7
Penalty scored percentage70.00%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage30.00%
Penalty total10

Bahia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away21
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.30%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.93%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total6
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage13.95%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away21
Goals against total35
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.86%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.71%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage8.57%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Palmeiras predictions and analysis, Bahia match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.