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Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Gremio badge Gremio
VS

Final result2–0

Arena do Grêmio

Match Finished

Atletico Paranaense badge Atletico Paranaense
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Gremio or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
GremioProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Atletico ParanaenseProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Gremio
Betting advice
Double chance : Gremio or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorGremioAtletico Paranaense
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals70.0%30.0%
Total53.5%46.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Gremio

Recent form (last 5): D D D L W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Atletico Paranaense

Recent form (last 5): W D W L D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio (03 May 2026)
  2. Atletico Paranaense 0–2 Gremio (04 Aug 2024)
  3. Gremio 2–0 Atletico Paranaense (18 Apr 2024)
  4. Gremio 1–2 Atletico Paranaense (19 Oct 2023)
  5. Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Gremio (27 May 2023)
  6. Atletico Paranaense 4–2 Gremio (26 Sep 2021)
  7. Gremio 0–1 Atletico Paranaense (13 Jun 2021)
  8. Gremio 1–0 Atletico Paranaense (21 Feb 2021)
  9. Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Gremio (25 Oct 2020)
  10. Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Gremio (28 Nov 2019)

Gremio recent matches

Scores below are shown as Gremio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Oct 2026CoritibaAway1–0Won
18 Oct 2026CruzeiroHome2–4Lost
11 Oct 2026InternacionalHome1–1Draw
08 Oct 2026RemoAway1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026PalmeirasHome0–0Draw
Gremio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Gremio performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home7
Wins away1
Wins total8
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home4
Losses away10
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-3
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Gremio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away10
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.71%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.43%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.71%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.71%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.86%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away23
Goals against total44
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.55%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.91%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Atletico Paranaense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Paranaense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026VitoriaAway1–1Draw
18 Oct 2026PalmeirasHome0–2Lost
13 Oct 2026Chapecoense-scAway4–1Won
09 Oct 2026Atletico-MGHome2–2Draw
21 Sep 2026BahiaHome2–1Won
Atletico Paranaense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Paranaense performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home9
Wins away6
Wins total15
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home2
Losses away6
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Atletico Paranaense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away23
Goals for total50
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total13
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.16%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.49%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away23
Goals against total38
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.95%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.95%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage2.56%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.21%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Gremio predictions and analysis, Atletico Paranaense match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.