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Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Flamengo badge Flamengo
VS

Final result3–1

Estádio do Maracanã

Match Finished

Gremio badge Gremio
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : FlamengoSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
FlamengoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
GremioProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Flamengo
Betting advice
Winner : Flamengo

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFlamengoGremio
Form62.0%38.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson82.0%18.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total66.2%33.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Flamengo

Recent form (last 5): D W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Gremio

Recent form (last 5): D D L W W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Gremio 0–1 Flamengo (11 May 2026)
  2. Flamengo 1–1 Gremio (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Gremio 0–2 Flamengo (13 Apr 2025)
  4. Gremio 3–2 Flamengo (22 Sep 2024)
  5. Flamengo 2–1 Gremio (14 Jun 2024)
  6. Gremio 3–2 Flamengo (26 Oct 2023)
  7. Flamengo 1–0 Gremio (17 Aug 2023)
  8. Gremio 0–2 Flamengo (27 Jul 2023)
  9. Flamengo 3–0 Gremio (11 Jun 2023)
  10. Gremio 2–2 Flamengo (24 Nov 2021)

Flamengo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Flamengo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026Vasco DA GamaAway4–1Won
27 Oct 2026Atletico-MGHome3–2Won
23 Oct 2026Estudiantes L.P.Home0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026BahiaAway3–0Won
16 Oct 2026Estudiantes L.P.Away0–0Draw
Flamengo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Flamengo performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home12
Wins away10
Wins total22
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away6
Clean sheet total14
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Flamengo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home32
Goals for total away36
Goals for total68
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away2.10
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total13
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage19.12%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.35%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.12%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.06%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over31
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away16
Goals against total28
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage32.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Gremio recent matches

Scores below are shown as Gremio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Atletico-MGHome2–0Won
30 Oct 2026Atletico ParanaenseHome2–0Won
26 Oct 2026CoritibaAway1–0Won
18 Oct 2026CruzeiroHome2–4Lost
11 Oct 2026InternacionalHome1–1Draw
Gremio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Gremio performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home8
Wins away1
Wins total9
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home4
Losses away10
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-3
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Gremio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away10
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.41%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage27.03%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.03%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away23
Goals against total44
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.55%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.91%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Flamengo predictions and analysis, Gremio match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.