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Flamengo vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Flamengo badge Flamengo
VS

Final result3–2

Estádio do Maracanã

Match Finished

Atletico-MG badge Atletico-MG
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Flamengo or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
FlamengoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Atletico-MGProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Flamengo
Betting advice
Double chance : Flamengo or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFlamengoAtletico-MG
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack59.0%41.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals70.0%30.0%
Total61.2%38.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Flamengo

Recent form (last 5): W W D W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Atletico-MG

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico-MG 0–4 Flamengo (27 Apr 2026)
  2. Atletico-MG 1–1 Flamengo (26 Nov 2025)
  3. Atletico-MG 0–1 Flamengo (07 Aug 2025)
  4. Flamengo 0–1 Atletico-MG (01 Aug 2025)
  5. Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG (28 Jul 2025)
  6. Flamengo 0–0 Atletico-MG (14 Nov 2024)
  7. Atletico-MG 0–1 Flamengo (10 Nov 2024)
  8. Flamengo 3–1 Atletico-MG (03 Nov 2024)
  9. Atletico-MG 2–4 Flamengo (04 Jul 2024)
  10. Flamengo 0–3 Atletico-MG (29 Nov 2023)

Flamengo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Flamengo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23 Oct 2026Estudiantes L.P.Home0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026BahiaAway3–0Won
16 Oct 2026Estudiantes L.P.Away0–0Draw
11 Oct 2026FluminenseHome1–0Won
09 Oct 2026SantosAway2–2Draw
Flamengo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Flamengo performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home11
Wins away9
Wins total20
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away6
Clean sheet total14
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Flamengo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home29
Goals for total away32
Goals for total61
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total12
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage19.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.56%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total15
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage24.59%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.67%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage1.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away15
Goals against total25
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage8.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Atletico-MG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico-MG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueAway0–2Lost
17 Oct 2026CoritibaHome1–0Won
15 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueHome3–0Won
11 Oct 2026SantosHome2–1Won
03 Oct 2026RB BragantinoHome1–0Won
Atletico-MG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico-MG performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home10
Wins away4
Wins total14
Draws home5
Draws away3
Draws total8
Losses home1
Losses away8
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico-MG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away15
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.32%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.95%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.07%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage4.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage24.39%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total5
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage12.20%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away18
Goals against total35
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.89%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.78%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Flamengo predictions and analysis, Atletico-MG match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.