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Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Cruzeiro badge Cruzeiro
VS

Final result2–0

Estádio Mineirão

Match Finished

Sao Paulo badge Sao Paulo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Sao PauloSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
CruzeiroProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Sao PauloProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sao Paulo
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCruzeiroSao Paulo
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence38.0%62.0%
Poisson67.0%33.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total48.7%51.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Cruzeiro

Recent form (last 5): W L W L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Sao Paulo

Recent form (last 5): W W L W L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sao Paulo 4–1 Cruzeiro (04 Apr 2026)
  2. Cruzeiro 1–0 Sao Paulo (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Sao Paulo 1–1 Cruzeiro (13 Apr 2025)
  4. Cruzeiro 1–1 Sao Paulo (16 Jan 2025)
  5. Cruzeiro 0–1 Sao Paulo (15 Sep 2024)
  6. Sao Paulo 2–0 Cruzeiro (02 Jun 2024)
  7. Sao Paulo 1–0 Cruzeiro (03 Nov 2023)
  8. Cruzeiro 1–0 Sao Paulo (25 Jun 2023)
  9. Cruzeiro 1–0 Sao Paulo (17 Oct 2019)
  10. Sao Paulo 1–1 Cruzeiro (02 Jun 2019)

Cruzeiro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cruzeiro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026VitoriaAway3–1Won
13 Sep 2026SantosAway1–2Lost
06 Sep 2026Atletico ParanaenseHome3–1Won
02 Sep 2026Atletico-MGAway1–2Lost
30 Aug 2026Vasco DA GamaAway1–3Lost
Cruzeiro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cruzeiro performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home7
Wins away6
Wins total13
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away6
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Cruzeiro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home24
Goals for total away18
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.90%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.90%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away24
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Sao Paulo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sao Paulo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026SantosHome1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026InternacionalHome1–0Won
16 Sep 2026Boca JuniorsHome1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026PalmeirasAway0–2Lost
09 Sep 2026Boca JuniorsAway0–1Lost
Sao Paulo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sao Paulo performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home8
Wins away2
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away9
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Sao Paulo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away11
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage29.03%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.90%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away20
Goals against total32
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage2.94%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.59%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage32.35%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.82%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cruzeiro predictions and analysis, Sao Paulo match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.