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Cruzeiro vs Bahia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Cruzeiro badge Cruzeiro
VS

Final result3–2

Governador Magalhães Pinto

Match Finished

Bahia badge Bahia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Cruzeiro or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CruzeiroProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BahiaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cruzeiro
Betting advice
Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCruzeiroBahia
Form63.0%37.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total61.2%38.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Cruzeiro

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Bahia

Recent form (last 5): L W L D W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro (10 May 2026)
  2. Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro (16 Sep 2025)
  3. Cruzeiro 3–0 Bahia (18 Apr 2025)
  4. Cruzeiro 1–1 Bahia (19 Oct 2024)
  5. Bahia 4–1 Cruzeiro (23 Jun 2024)
  6. Cruzeiro 3–0 Bahia (26 Oct 2023)
  7. Bahia 2–2 Cruzeiro (10 Jun 2023)
  8. Cruzeiro 1–0 Bahia (23 Jul 2022)
  9. Bahia 2–0 Cruzeiro (09 Apr 2022)
  10. Cruzeiro 1–1 Bahia (03 Nov 2019)

Cruzeiro recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cruzeiro goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026Atletico-MGAway1–0Won
24 Oct 2026RemoHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026GremioAway4–2Won
13 Oct 2026RB BragantinoAway2–4Lost
08 Oct 2026Sao PauloHome2–0Won
Cruzeiro detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cruzeiro performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home9
Wins away8
Wins total17
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Cruzeiro goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away25
Goals for total52
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.32%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.21%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.98%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.98%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.42%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away30
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.56%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.78%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.56%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage4.44%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.44%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Bahia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bahia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026Sao PauloHome3–2Won
25 Oct 2026SantosAway1–1Draw
18 Oct 2026FlamengoHome0–3Lost
12 Oct 2026MirassolHome1–0Won
09 Oct 2026PalmeirasAway0–1Lost
Bahia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bahia performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home8
Wins away6
Wins total14
Draws home6
Draws away5
Draws total11
Losses home3
Losses away5
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws5
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total8
Penalty scored percentage72.73%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage27.27%
Penalty total11

Bahia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away22
Goals for total48
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.58%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total15
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage31.25%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.42%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away23
Goals against total42
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.90%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cruzeiro predictions and analysis, Bahia match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.