Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

VS

Final result1–4

Arena Condá

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Atletico Paranaense and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Chapecoense-scProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Atletico ParanaenseProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Paranaense
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Atletico Paranaense and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChapecoense-scAtletico Paranaense
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson35.0%65.0%
H2H25.0%75.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total37.2%62.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Chapecoense-sc

Recent form (last 5): L W L D L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Atletico Paranaense

Recent form (last 5): D L D W D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense-sc (12 Apr 2026)
  2. Chapecoense-sc 2–3 Atletico Paranaense (17 Sep 2025)
  3. Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Chapecoense-sc (09 May 2025)
  4. Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Atletico Paranaense (14 Oct 2021)
  5. Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Chapecoense-sc (28 Jun 2021)
  6. Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Chapecoense-sc (30 Sep 2019)
  7. Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Atletico Paranaense (05 May 2019)
  8. Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Atletico Paranaense (14 Sep 2018)
  9. Atletico Paranaense 5–1 Chapecoense-sc (16 Apr 2018)
  10. Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Chapecoense-sc (29 Oct 2017)

Chapecoense-sc recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chapecoense-sc goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Oct 2026VitoriaAway0–4Lost
26 Sep 2026Atletico NacionalAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026Atletico-MGAway1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026InternacionalHome1–2Lost
07 Sep 2026CorinthiansAway2–1Won
Chapecoense-sc detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chapecoense-sc performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total28
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home6
Losses away10
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-2
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Chapecoense-sc goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away11
Goals for total29
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage3.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.33%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage10.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home29
Goals against total away28
Goals against total57
Goals against average home2.20
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.93%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.64%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.64%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage1.79%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Atletico Paranaense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Paranaense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026BahiaHome2–1Won
12 Sep 2026CoritibaAway3–3Draw
06 Sep 2026CruzeiroAway1–3Lost
30 Aug 2026FluminenseHome3–3Draw
25 Aug 2026BotafogoAway3–2Won
Atletico Paranaense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Paranaense performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home5
Draws away3
Draws total8
Losses home1
Losses away6
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Atletico Paranaense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away18
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total12
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.89%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage24.44%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.89%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.78%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage6.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away21
Goals against total34
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.71%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.59%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.59%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage2.94%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.82%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage8.82%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chapecoense-sc predictions and analysis, Atletico Paranaense match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.