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Botafogo vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Botafogo badge Botafogo
VS

Final result1–0

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Match Finished

Atletico-MG badge Atletico-MG
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Botafogo or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
BotafogoProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Atletico-MGProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Botafogo
Betting advice
Double chance : Botafogo or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBotafogoAtletico-MG
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total49.3%50.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Botafogo

Recent form (last 5): L D W L L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Atletico-MG

Recent form (last 5): D W W L L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico-MG 1–1 Botafogo (10 May 2026)
  2. Botafogo 1–0 Atletico-MG (20 Sep 2025)
  3. Atletico-MG 1–0 Botafogo (20 Apr 2025)
  4. Atletico-MG 1–3 Botafogo (30 Nov 2024)
  5. Atletico-MG 0–0 Botafogo (21 Nov 2024)
  6. Botafogo 3–0 Atletico-MG (08 Jul 2024)
  7. Atletico-MG 1–0 Botafogo (17 Sep 2023)
  8. Botafogo 2–0 Atletico-MG (07 May 2023)
  9. Atletico-MG 0–2 Botafogo (08 Nov 2022)
  10. Botafogo 0–1 Atletico-MG (17 Jul 2022)

Botafogo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Botafogo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026RemoAway1–2Lost
24 Oct 2026InternacionalAway0–3Lost
17 Oct 2026Chapecoense-scHome1–0Won
12 Oct 2026CoritibaAway1–1Draw
08 Oct 2026Vasco DA GamaHome1–2Lost
Botafogo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Botafogo performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home6
Draws away3
Draws total9
Losses home4
Losses away10
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Botafogo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away19
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.42%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.42%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage29.17%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home22
Goals against total away31
Goals against total53
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Atletico-MG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico-MG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026GremioAway0–2Lost
29 Oct 2026CruzeiroHome0–1Lost
27 Oct 2026FlamengoAway2–3Lost
22 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueAway0–2Lost
17 Oct 2026CoritibaHome1–0Won
Atletico-MG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico-MG performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home10
Wins away4
Wins total14
Draws home5
Draws away3
Draws total8
Losses home2
Losses away9
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico-MG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away17
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.30%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.93%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.98%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.26%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away21
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage32.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Botafogo predictions and analysis, Atletico-MG match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.