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Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Atletico Paranaense badge Atletico Paranaense
VS

Final result1–3

Arena da Baixada

Match Finished

Vasco DA Gama badge Vasco DA Gama
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Atletico Paranaense or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Atletico ParanaenseProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Vasco DA GamaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Paranaense
Betting advice
Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama
Form42.0%58.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Paranaense

Recent form (last 5): D W L D L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Vasco DA Gama

Recent form (last 5): W D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Atletico Paranaense (11 May 2026)
  2. Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Vasco DA Gama (12 Sep 2024)
  3. Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Atletico Paranaense (30 Aug 2024)
  4. Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Atletico Paranaense (27 Aug 2024)
  5. Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama (05 May 2024)
  6. Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Vasco DA Gama (25 Nov 2023)
  7. Vasco DA Gama 0–2 Atletico Paranaense (23 Jul 2023)
  8. Atletico Paranaense 3–0 Vasco DA Gama (27 Dec 2020)
  9. Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Atletico Paranaense (06 Sep 2020)
  10. Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Atletico Paranaense (22 Sep 2019)

Atletico Paranaense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Paranaense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026GremioAway0–2Lost
24 Oct 2026VitoriaAway1–1Draw
18 Oct 2026PalmeirasHome0–2Lost
13 Oct 2026Chapecoense-scAway4–1Won
09 Oct 2026Atletico-MGHome2–2Draw
Atletico Paranaense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Paranaense performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home9
Wins away6
Wins total15
Draws home5
Draws away4
Draws total9
Losses home2
Losses away7
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Atletico Paranaense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away23
Goals for total50
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total13
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.16%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.49%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away25
Goals against total40
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.51%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage4.88%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.76%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.83%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Vasco DA Gama recent matches

Scores below are shown as Vasco DA Gama goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026PalmeirasAway0–1Lost
30 Oct 2026FlamengoHome1–4Lost
24 Oct 2026CorinthiansHome3–2Won
21 Oct 2026Boca JuniorsHome1–3Lost
18 Oct 2026Sao PauloAway0–1Lost
Vasco DA Gama detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Vasco DA Gama performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total32
Wins home8
Wins away2
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home6
Losses away8
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Vasco DA Gama goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away15
Goals for total40
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home24
Goals against total away25
Goals against total49
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.64%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.64%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.89%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.40%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.15%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.28%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Paranaense predictions and analysis, Vasco DA Gama match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.