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Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Atletico Paranaense badge Atletico Paranaense
VS

Final result0–2

Arena da Baixada

Match Finished

Palmeiras badge Palmeiras
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or PalmeirasSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Atletico ParanaenseProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
PalmeirasProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Palmeiras
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Palmeiras

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico ParanaensePalmeiras
Form42.0%58.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence9.0%91.0%
Poisson43.0%57.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total37.7%62.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Paranaense

Recent form (last 5): L D W D W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Palmeiras

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Atletico Paranaense 0–2 Palmeiras (01 Sep 2024)
  3. Palmeiras 0–2 Atletico Paranaense (12 May 2024)
  4. Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense (05 Nov 2023)
  5. Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Palmeiras (02 Jul 2023)
  6. Atletico Paranaense 1–3 Palmeiras (26 Oct 2022)
  7. Palmeiras 2–2 Atletico Paranaense (07 Sep 2022)
  8. Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Palmeiras (31 Aug 2022)
  9. Palmeiras 0–2 Atletico Paranaense (03 Jul 2022)
  10. Palmeiras 2–0 Atletico Paranaense (03 Mar 2022)

Atletico Paranaense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Paranaense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13 Oct 2026Chapecoense-scAway4–1Won
09 Oct 2026Atletico-MGHome2–2Draw
21 Sep 2026BahiaHome2–1Won
12 Sep 2026CoritibaAway3–3Draw
06 Sep 2026CruzeiroAway1–3Lost
Atletico Paranaense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Paranaense performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home9
Wins away6
Wins total15
Draws home5
Draws away3
Draws total8
Losses home1
Losses away6
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Atletico Paranaense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away22
Goals for total49
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total13
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.16%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.45%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.16%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total5
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage10.20%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away22
Goals against total35
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage2.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total4
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage11.43%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Palmeiras recent matches

Scores below are shown as Palmeiras goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026CorinthiansHome4–1Won
09 Oct 2026BahiaHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026GremioAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026LDU de QuitoAway2–3Lost
12 Sep 2026Sao PauloHome2–0Won
Palmeiras detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Palmeiras performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home11
Wins away7
Wins total18
Draws home3
Draws away6
Draws total9
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away7
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Palmeiras goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away24
Goals for total52
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away12
Goals against total22
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage4.17%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.83%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage29.17%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Paranaense predictions and analysis, Palmeiras match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.