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Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Atletico Paranaense badge Atletico Paranaense
VS

Final result2–2

Arena da Baixada

Match Finished

Atletico-MG badge Atletico-MG
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Atletico-MGSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Atletico ParanaenseProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Atletico-MGProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico-MG
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Paranaense

Recent form (last 5): W D L D W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Atletico-MG

Recent form (last 5): W L W D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense (05 Apr 2026)
  2. Atletico-MG 1–0 Atletico Paranaense (08 Dec 2024)
  3. Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Atletico-MG (16 Nov 2024)
  4. Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Atletico-MG (02 Sep 2023)
  5. Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense (24 May 2023)
  6. Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense (30 Apr 2023)
  7. Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Atletico-MG (19 Apr 2023)
  8. Atletico-MG 2–3 Atletico Paranaense (08 Aug 2022)
  9. Atletico Paranaense 0–1 Atletico-MG (17 Apr 2022)
  10. Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Atletico-MG (16 Dec 2021)

Atletico Paranaense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Paranaense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026BahiaHome2–1Won
12 Sep 2026CoritibaAway3–3Draw
06 Sep 2026CruzeiroAway1–3Lost
30 Aug 2026FluminenseHome3–3Draw
25 Aug 2026BotafogoAway3–2Won
Atletico Paranaense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Paranaense performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home4
Draws away3
Draws total7
Losses home1
Losses away6
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Atletico Paranaense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away18
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total11
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.58%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.30%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.98%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.58%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.30%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.65%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away21
Goals against total32
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.88%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage3.13%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Atletico-MG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico-MG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026RB BragantinoHome1–0Won
19 Sep 2026Chapecoense-scHome1–1Draw
17 Sep 2026SantosHome4–2Won
12 Sep 2026FluminenseHome3–1Won
10 Sep 2026SantosAway0–2Lost
Atletico-MG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico-MG performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home8
Wins away4
Wins total12
Draws home5
Draws away2
Draws total7
Losses home1
Losses away8
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico-MG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home24
Goals for total away13
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.44%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.78%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away16
Goals against total32
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.12%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage24.24%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage3.03%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Paranaense predictions and analysis, Atletico-MG match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.