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Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Atletico-MG badge Atletico-MG
VS

Final result2–1

Arena MRV

Match Finished

Santos badge Santos
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or SantosSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Atletico-MGProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
SantosProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Santos
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Santos

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico-MGSantos
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total42.7%57.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico-MG

Recent form (last 5): W L W D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Santos

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico-MG 4–2 Santos (17 Sep 2026)
  2. Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG (10 Sep 2026)
  3. Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG (12 Apr 2026)
  4. Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos (14 Sep 2025)
  5. Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG (17 Apr 2025)
  6. Atletico-MG 2–0 Santos (27 Aug 2023)
  7. Santos 0–0 Atletico-MG (23 Apr 2023)
  8. Santos 1–2 Atletico-MG (06 Oct 2022)
  9. Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos (12 Jun 2022)
  10. Atletico-MG 3–1 Santos (14 Oct 2021)

Atletico-MG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico-MG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026RB BragantinoHome1–0Won
19 Sep 2026Chapecoense-scHome1–1Draw
17 Sep 2026SantosHome4–2Won
12 Sep 2026FluminenseHome3–1Won
10 Sep 2026SantosAway0–2Lost
Atletico-MG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico-MG performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home8
Wins away4
Wins total12
Draws home5
Draws away2
Draws total7
Losses home1
Losses away8
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away8
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico-MG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home24
Goals for total away13
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.44%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.78%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away16
Goals against total32
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.12%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage24.24%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage3.03%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Santos recent matches

Scores below are shown as Santos goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Sao PauloAway2–1Won
19 Sep 2026RemoAway2–1Won
17 Sep 2026Atletico-MGAway2–4Lost
13 Sep 2026CruzeiroHome2–1Won
10 Sep 2026Atletico-MGHome2–0Won
Santos detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Santos performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home6
Wins away5
Wins total11
Draws home4
Draws away4
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Santos goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away23
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.55%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage29.55%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.45%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away23
Goals against total41
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.50%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico-MG predictions and analysis, Santos match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.