Hercílio Luz vs Nação Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Copa Santa Catarina, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Copa Santa Catarina

VS

Final result2–1

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Hercílio Luz and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 0%
50%
HOME WIN
Hercílio LuzProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
NaçãoProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Hercílio Luz
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Hercílio Luz and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorHercílio LuzNação
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson75.0%25.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total72.2%27.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Hercílio Luz

Recent form (last 5): W W L

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Nação

Recent form (last 5): D L L D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Nação 1–2 Hercílio Luz (25 Jul 2026)
  2. Hercílio Luz 2–1 Nação (07 Jun 2026)
  3. Hercílio Luz 1–0 Nação (28 Sep 2024)
  4. Hercílio Luz 2–2 Nação (16 Feb 2024)
  5. Nação 0–1 Hercílio Luz (17 Sep 2023)

Hercílio Luz recent matches

Scores below are shown as Hercílio Luz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Marcílio DiasAway2–4Lost
12 Sep 2026JoinvilleAway3–1Won
30 Aug 2026MetropolitanoHome4–2Won
25 Jul 2026NaçãoAway2–1Won
23 Jul 2026CaravaggioHome0–0Draw
Hercílio Luz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Hercílio Luz performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total3
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home4-2
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Hercílio Luz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away5
Goals for total9
Goals for average home4.00
Goals for average away2.50
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away5
Goals against total7
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Nação recent matches

Scores below are shown as Nação goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Sep 2026BarraAway3–3Draw
19 Sep 2026JoinvilleHome0–4Lost
12 Sep 2026FigueirenseAway0–1Lost
06 Sep 2026Santa CatarinaHome2–2Draw
25 Jul 2026Hercílio LuzHome1–2Lost
Nação detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Nação performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Nação goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away3
Goals for total5
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away4
Goals against total10
Goals against average home3.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Hercílio Luz predictions and analysis, Nação match tips, or more Copa Santa Catarina predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.