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Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Copa Do Brasil, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Copa Do Brasil

Atletico-MG badge Atletico-MG
VS

Arena MRV

Gremio badge Gremio
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Gremio and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Atletico-MGProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
GremioProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Gremio
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Gremio and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico-MGGremio
Form42.0%58.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico-MG

Recent form (last 5): D W D W L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Gremio

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Gremio 2–0 Atletico-MG (01 Nov 2026)
  2. Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio (16 Aug 2026)
  3. Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG (26 Feb 2026)
  4. Atletico-MG 1–3 Gremio (17 Aug 2025)
  5. Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG (29 Mar 2025)
  6. Atletico-MG 2–1 Gremio (10 Oct 2024)
  7. Gremio 2–3 Atletico-MG (01 Sep 2024)
  8. Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio (26 Nov 2023)
  9. Gremio 1–0 Atletico-MG (23 Jul 2023)
  10. Gremio 4–3 Atletico-MG (10 Dec 2021)

Atletico-MG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico-MG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026GremioAway0–2Lost
29 Oct 2026CruzeiroHome0–1Lost
27 Oct 2026FlamengoAway2–3Lost
22 Oct 2026Atletico TorqueAway0–2Lost
17 Oct 2026CoritibaHome1–0Won
Atletico-MG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico-MG performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Atletico-MG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away4
Goals for total8
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away5
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Gremio recent matches

Scores below are shown as Gremio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Atletico-MGHome2–0Won
30 Oct 2026Atletico ParanaenseHome2–0Won
26 Oct 2026CoritibaAway1–0Won
18 Oct 2026CruzeiroHome2–4Lost
11 Oct 2026InternacionalHome1–1Draw
Gremio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Gremio performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Gremio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away4
Goals for total12
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away1
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total0.30
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico-MG predictions and analysis, Gremio match tips, or more Copa Do Brasil predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.