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Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premyer Liqa, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premyer Liqa

Qarabag badge Qarabag
VS

Final result3–3

Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Match Finished

Neftchi Baku badge Neftchi Baku
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Qarabag or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
QarabagProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Neftchi BakuProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Qarabag
Betting advice
Double chance : Qarabag or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorQarabagNeftchi Baku
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson43.0%57.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total60.2%39.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Qarabag

Recent form (last 5): W W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Neftchi Baku

Recent form (last 5): L W W W D

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Neftchi Baku 2–1 Qarabag (30 Apr 2026)
  2. Neftchi Baku 1–5 Qarabag (26 Apr 2026)
  3. Qarabag 2–0 Neftchi Baku (09 Nov 2025)
  4. Qarabag 3–0 Neftchi Baku (19 Apr 2025)
  5. Neftchi Baku 0–1 Qarabag (16 Feb 2025)
  6. Neftchi Baku 0–3 Qarabag (01 Dec 2024)
  7. Qarabag 4–0 Neftchi Baku (20 Sep 2024)
  8. Qarabag 5–0 Neftchi Baku (04 May 2024)
  9. Qarabag 4–1 Neftchi Baku (24 Apr 2024)
  10. Neftchi Baku 0–4 Qarabag (02 Apr 2024)

Qarabag recent matches

Scores below are shown as Qarabag goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Imisli FKAway2–0Won
18 Sep 2026Safa BakuHome1–0Won
13 Sep 2026ZiraAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026ArazHome3–2Won
31 Aug 2026SumqayıtAway1–0Won
Qarabag detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Qarabag performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Qarabag goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away4
Goals for total11
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away1
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Neftchi Baku recent matches

Scores below are shown as Neftchi Baku goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09 Oct 2026Sabah FAHome0–0Draw
18 Sep 2026QabalaAway3–0Won
11 Sep 2026Imisli FKAway3–2Won
05 Sep 2026Safa BakuHome4–1Won
30 Aug 2026ZiraAway0–1Lost
Neftchi Baku detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Neftchi Baku performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home2
Wins away3
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Neftchi Baku goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away9
Goals for total18
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total2.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.78%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away4
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Qarabag predictions and analysis, Neftchi Baku match tips, or more Premyer Liqa predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.