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Sturm Graz vs Ried Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Bundesliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Bundesliga

Sturm Graz badge Sturm Graz
VS

Final result2–2

Stadion Graz-Liebenau

Match Finished

Ried badge Ried
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Sturm GrazProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
RiedProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sturm Graz
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSturm GrazRied
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total64.3%35.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Sturm Graz

Recent form (last 5): L W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Ried

Recent form (last 5): L D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sturm Graz 1–0 Ried (08 Feb 2026)
  2. Ried 1–3 Sturm Graz (16 Aug 2025)
  3. Ried 1–3 Sturm Graz (28 Aug 2024)
  4. Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried (30 Oct 2022)
  5. Ried 1–1 Sturm Graz (06 Aug 2022)
  6. Ried 2–2 Sturm Graz (06 Mar 2022)
  7. Sturm Graz 1–2 Ried (27 Oct 2021)
  8. Sturm Graz 1–0 Ried (17 Oct 2021)
  9. Sturm Graz 2–1 Ried (09 Feb 2021)
  10. Ried 0–2 Sturm Graz (24 Oct 2020)

Sturm Graz recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sturm Graz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Oct 2026MarseilleHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026Grazer AKHome6–1Won
15 Oct 2026BournemouthAway0–3Lost
10 Oct 2026Austria ViennaAway2–0Won
20 Sep 2026Red Bull SalzburgAway0–3Lost
Sturm Graz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sturm Graz performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home6-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Sturm Graz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away6
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage31.25%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away7
Goals against total10
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Ried recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ried goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Austria ViennaHome3–2Won
10 Oct 2026WSG WattensAway2–1Won
02 Oct 2026SKU AmstettenHome3–3Draw
20 Sep 2026Wolfsberger ACHome4–1Won
11 Sep 2026Red Bull SalzburgHome1–1Draw
Ried detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ried performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Ried goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away6
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage31.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.75%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away9
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage26.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage26.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sturm Graz predictions and analysis, Ried match tips, or more Bundesliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.