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South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Australia Cup, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Australia Cup

South Melbourne badge South Melbourne
VS

Final result1–1

AAMI Park

Match Finished

Melbourne Victory badge Melbourne Victory
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Melbourne VictorySelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
South MelbourneProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Melbourne VictoryProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Melbourne Victory
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSouth MelbourneMelbourne Victory
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence14.0%86.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total36.8%63.3%

Team form and goal analysis

South Melbourne

Recent form (last 5): W D W W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Melbourne Victory

Recent form (last 5): W D W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

South Melbourne recent matches

Scores below are shown as South Melbourne goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Sep 2026LionsHome3–1Won
11 Sep 2026Oakleigh CannonsAway1–2Lost
06 Sep 2026Heidelberg UnitedHome2–1Won
29 Aug 2026Sunshine GeorgiesAway0–1Lost
26 Aug 2026Preston LionsAway2–1Won
South Melbourne detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

South Melbourne performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total4
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

South Melbourne goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away2
Goals for total10
Goals for average home2.70
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 106-120 · total3
Goals for minute · 106-120 · percentage23.08%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away1
Goals against total6
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 106-120 · total1
Goals against minute · 106-120 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Melbourne Victory recent matches

Scores below are shown as Melbourne Victory goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16 Sep 2026ViettelAway1–1Draw
09 Sep 2026SydneyAway2–0Won
19 Aug 2026APIA Leichhardt TigersAway1–0Won
08 Aug 2026Western Sydney WanderersAway1–1Draw
26 Jul 2026Kingborough LionsAway4–0Won
Melbourne Victory detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Melbourne Victory performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away3
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Melbourne Victory goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away8
Goals for total8
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 106-120 · total3
Goals for minute · 106-120 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total0.30
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 106-120 · total2
Goals against minute · 106-120 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore South Melbourne predictions and analysis, Melbourne Victory match tips, or more Australia Cup predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.