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Wellington Phoenix W vs Melbourne Victory W Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for A-League Women, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

A-League Women

Wellington Phoenix W badge Wellington Phoenix W
VS

Final result1–1

Sky Stadium

Match Finished

Melbourne Victory W badge Melbourne Victory W
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory W and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Wellington Phoenix WProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Melbourne Victory WProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Melbourne Victory W
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory W and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorWellington Phoenix WMelbourne Victory W
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Wellington Phoenix W

Recent form (last 5): L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Melbourne Victory W

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Melbourne Victory W 1–1 Wellington Phoenix W (20 Feb 2026)
  2. Wellington Phoenix W 1–0 Melbourne Victory W (23 Nov 2025)
  3. Wellington Phoenix W 1–1 Melbourne Victory W (08 Feb 2025)
  4. Melbourne Victory W 1–1 Wellington Phoenix W (13 Dec 2024)
  5. Melbourne Victory W 5–3 Wellington Phoenix W (03 Mar 2024)
  6. Wellington Phoenix W 2–2 Melbourne Victory W (10 Dec 2023)
  7. Wellington Phoenix W 2–2 Melbourne Victory W (01 Apr 2023)
  8. Melbourne Victory W 1–0 Wellington Phoenix W (04 Dec 2022)
  9. Wellington Phoenix W 0–2 Melbourne Victory W (04 Feb 2022)

Wellington Phoenix W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Wellington Phoenix W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Melbourne City WHome1–2Lost
16 May 2026Melbourne City WAway1–3Lost
10 May 2026Brisbane Roar FC WHome1–0Won
03 May 2026Brisbane Roar FC WAway1–2Lost
03 Apr 2026Adelaide United WAway2–0Won
Wellington Phoenix W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Wellington Phoenix W performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Wellington Phoenix W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away0
Goals for total1
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away0
Goals against total2
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Melbourne Victory W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Melbourne Victory W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Western Sydney Wanderers WAway1–0Won
09 May 2026Melbourne City WAway0–1Lost
02 May 2026Melbourne City WHome0–1Lost
25 Apr 2026Canberra United WAway3–1Won
03 Apr 2026Perth Glory FC WAway1–0Won
Melbourne Victory W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Melbourne Victory W performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Melbourne Victory W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away1
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Wellington Phoenix W predictions and analysis, Melbourne Victory W match tips, or more A-League Women predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.