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Melbourne Victory W vs Newcastle Jets FC W Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for A-League Women, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

A-League Women

Melbourne Victory W badge Melbourne Victory W
VS

Final result1–0

AAMI Park

Match Finished

Newcastle Jets FC W badge Newcastle Jets FC W
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Melbourne Victory W or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Melbourne Victory WProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Newcastle Jets FC WProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Melbourne Victory W
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Melbourne Victory W or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMelbourne Victory WNewcastle Jets FC W
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Melbourne Victory W

Recent form (last 5): W D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Newcastle Jets FC W

Recent form (last 5): L

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Melbourne Victory W 2–1 Newcastle Jets FC W (07 Feb 2026)
  2. Newcastle Jets FC W 1–3 Melbourne Victory W (19 Dec 2025)
  3. Melbourne Victory W 4–3 Newcastle Jets FC W (21 Mar 2025)
  4. Newcastle Jets FC W 0–2 Melbourne Victory W (11 Jan 2025)
  5. Newcastle Jets FC W 3–2 Melbourne Victory W (23 Mar 2024)
  6. Melbourne Victory W 4–0 Newcastle Jets FC W (12 Nov 2023)
  7. Melbourne Victory W 5–2 Newcastle Jets FC W (18 Dec 2022)
  8. Newcastle Jets FC W 0–1 Melbourne Victory W (08 Feb 2022)
  9. Newcastle Jets FC W 0–2 Melbourne Victory W (20 Feb 2021)
  10. Melbourne Victory W 4–2 Newcastle Jets FC W (07 Feb 2021)

Melbourne Victory W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Melbourne Victory W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Wellington Phoenix WAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026Western Sydney Wanderers WAway1–0Won
09 May 2026Melbourne City WAway0–1Lost
02 May 2026Melbourne City WHome0–1Lost
25 Apr 2026Canberra United WAway3–1Won
Melbourne Victory W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Melbourne Victory W performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Melbourne Victory W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Newcastle Jets FC W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Newcastle Jets FC W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Perth Glory FC WHome0–1Lost
05 Apr 2026Melbourne City WHome1–2Lost
28 Mar 2026Adelaide United WAway3–1Won
20 Mar 2026Brisbane Roar FC WAway2–4Lost
13 Mar 2026Sydney FC WHome3–1Won
Newcastle Jets FC W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Newcastle Jets FC W performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Newcastle Jets FC W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away0
Goals for total0
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total0.00
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Melbourne Victory W predictions and analysis, Newcastle Jets FC W match tips, or more A-League Women predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.