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Melbourne Victory W vs Adelaide United W Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for A-League Women, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

A-League Women

Melbourne Victory W badge Melbourne Victory W
VS

The Home of the Matildas

Adelaide United W badge Adelaide United W
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Melbourne Victory W or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
Melbourne Victory WProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
Adelaide United WProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Melbourne Victory W
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Melbourne Victory W or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMelbourne Victory WAdelaide United W
Form78.0%22.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total70.4%29.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Melbourne Victory W

Recent form (last 5): W D W L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Adelaide United W

Recent form (last 5): D D L L

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Adelaide United W 2–1 Melbourne Victory W (17 Jan 2026)
  2. Melbourne Victory W 1–0 Adelaide United W (13 Dec 2025)
  3. Melbourne Victory W 3–1 Adelaide United W (10 May 2025)
  4. Adelaide United W 1–3 Melbourne Victory W (04 May 2025)
  5. Melbourne Victory W 2–1 Adelaide United W (29 Mar 2025)
  6. Adelaide United W 2–3 Melbourne Victory W (02 Nov 2024)
  7. Adelaide United W 1–4 Melbourne Victory W (10 Mar 2024)
  8. Melbourne Victory W 2–0 Adelaide United W (04 Nov 2023)
  9. Melbourne Victory W 2–2 Adelaide United W (26 Feb 2023)
  10. Adelaide United W 1–2 Melbourne Victory W (21 Jan 2023)

Melbourne Victory W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Melbourne Victory W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Nov 2026Brisbane Roar FC WAway0–2Lost
01 Nov 2026Newcastle Jets FC WHome1–0Won
25 Oct 2026Wellington Phoenix WAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026Western Sydney Wanderers WAway1–0Won
09 May 2026Melbourne City WAway0–1Lost
Melbourne Victory W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Melbourne Victory W performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Melbourne Victory W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away2
Goals for total3
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage66.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away3
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Adelaide United W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Adelaide United W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06 Nov 2026Wellington Phoenix WHome0–2Lost
31 Oct 2026Central Coast Mariners WAway0–2Lost
24 Oct 2026Perth Glory FC WHome0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Sydney FC WAway2–2Draw
25 Apr 2026Brisbane Roar FC WAway0–3Lost
Adelaide United W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Adelaide United W performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Adelaide United W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away4
Goals against total6
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage57.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Melbourne Victory W predictions and analysis, Adelaide United W match tips, or more A-League Women predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.