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Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for A-League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

A-League

Adelaide United badge Adelaide United
VS

Coopers Stadium

Melbourne Victory badge Melbourne Victory
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Melbourne VictorySelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Adelaide UnitedProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Melbourne VictoryProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Melbourne Victory
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals48.0%52.0%
Total40.8%59.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Adelaide United

Recent form (last 5): L L

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Melbourne Victory

Recent form (last 5): L D D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Melbourne Victory 1–1 Adelaide United (27 Feb 2026)
  2. Adelaide United 2–1 Melbourne Victory (17 Jan 2026)
  3. Melbourne Victory 2–1 Adelaide United (13 Dec 2025)
  4. Melbourne Victory 5–3 Adelaide United (29 Mar 2025)
  5. Adelaide United 3–2 Melbourne Victory (18 Jan 2025)
  6. Melbourne Victory 1–0 Adelaide United (21 Sep 2024)
  7. Adelaide United 1–2 Melbourne Victory (09 Mar 2024)
  8. Melbourne Victory 2–0 Adelaide United (30 Dec 2023)
  9. Melbourne Victory 1–1 Adelaide United (04 Nov 2023)
  10. Melbourne Victory 1–1 Adelaide United (26 Feb 2023)

Adelaide United recent matches

Scores below are shown as Adelaide United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05 Nov 2026Home UnitedAway0–5Lost
01 Nov 2026Perth GloryAway0–4Lost
29 Oct 2026Home UnitedHome0–2Lost
25 Oct 2026SydneyAway1–2Lost
15 Oct 2026BG Pathum UnitedAway2–1Won
Adelaide United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Adelaide United performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Adelaide United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away1
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away6
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away3.00
Goals against average total3.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Melbourne Victory recent matches

Scores below are shown as Melbourne Victory goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Nov 2026Persib BandungHome1–2Lost
01 Nov 2026Central Coast MarinersHome1–1Draw
28 Oct 2026Persib BandungAway0–2Lost
24 Oct 2026Melbourne CityHome1–1Draw
18 Oct 2026Wellington PhoenixAway1–2Lost
Melbourne Victory detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Melbourne Victory performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total3
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Melbourne Victory goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away1
Goals for total3
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away2
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Adelaide United predictions and analysis, Melbourne Victory match tips, or more A-League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.