Sarmiento Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Reserve League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Reserve League

VS

Final result0–1

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Vélez Sársfield Res. and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Sarmiento Res.Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Vélez Sársfield Res.Probability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Vélez Sársfield Res. and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence14.0%86.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals8.0%92.0%
Total26.0%74.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Sarmiento Res.

Recent form (last 5): D D L W L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Recent form (last 5): D D W W D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vélez Sársfield Res. 4–0 Sarmiento Res. (06 May 2026)
  2. Sarmiento Res. 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res. (08 Oct 2025)
  3. Vélez Sársfield Res. 2–0 Sarmiento Res. (06 May 2025)
  4. Vélez Sársfield Res. 3–1 Sarmiento Res. (16 Jul 2023)
  5. Sarmiento Res. 0–2 Vélez Sársfield Res. (20 Aug 2022)

Sarmiento Res. recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sarmiento Res. goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Oct 2026River Plate Res.Away0–1Lost
23 Sep 2026Atl. Rafaela 2Home3–1Won
15 Sep 2026Racing Club Res.Home0–1Lost
09 Sep 2026Instituto Res.Away2–2Draw
01 Sep 2026Argentinos Juniors Res.Away1–1Draw
Sarmiento Res. detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sarmiento Res. performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total29
Wins home3
Wins away5
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home7
Losses away5
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total12
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Sarmiento Res. goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away14
Goals for total27
Goals for average home0.90
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage3.70%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.70%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away17
Goals against total33
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.12%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.12%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.21%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage3.03%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Vélez Sársfield Res. recent matches

Scores below are shown as Vélez Sársfield Res. goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Sep 2026Ferro 2Home4–0Won
15 Sep 2026Aldosivi Res.Away1–0Won
08 Sep 2026Gimnasia La Plata Res.Home0–0Draw
01 Sep 2026Unión Santa Fe Res.Away0–0Draw
25 Aug 2026Atlético Tucumán Res.Home2–0Won
Vélez Sársfield Res. detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Vélez Sársfield Res. performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total31
Wins home12
Wins away7
Wins total19
Draws home2
Draws away5
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home10
Clean sheet away7
Clean sheet total17
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Vélez Sársfield Res. goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home36
Goals for total away17
Goals for total53
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total13
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.31%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage1.92%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away8
Goals against total17
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sarmiento Res. predictions and analysis, Vélez Sársfield Res. match tips, or more Reserve League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.