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Mercedes vs Lugano Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera C, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera C

Mercedes badge Mercedes
VS

Final result1–0

Match Finished

Lugano badge Lugano
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
MercedesProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
LuganoProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Mercedes
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMercedesLugano
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Mercedes

Recent form (last 5): L D W W D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Lugano

Recent form (last 5): W D D D L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lugano 1–0 Mercedes (14 Jun 2026)
  2. Lugano 0–1 Mercedes (17 Aug 2025)
  3. Mercedes 1–1 Lugano (02 May 2025)
  4. Mercedes 2–2 Lugano (26 Oct 2024)
  5. Lugano 0–0 Mercedes (27 May 2024)
  6. Mercedes 2–1 Lugano (09 Oct 2023)
  7. Lugano 2–1 Mercedes (02 Jul 2023)
  8. Lugano 2–1 Mercedes (01 Apr 2023)
  9. Mercedes 1–2 Lugano (09 Sep 2022)
  10. Lugano 3–0 Mercedes (25 Jun 2022)

Mercedes recent matches

Scores below are shown as Mercedes goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Deportivo ParaguayoAway1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026Puerto NuevoHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Leandro N. AlemAway1–0Won
11 Sep 2026Deportivo EspañolHome1–1Draw
05 Sep 2026Defensores de CambaceresHome0–3Lost
Mercedes detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Mercedes performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home7
Wins away4
Wins total11
Draws home6
Draws away5
Draws total11
Losses home2
Losses away7
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away6
Clean sheet total15
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Mercedes goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away12
Goals for total30
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage26.92%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.23%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away15
Goals against total24
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.86%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage32.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Lugano recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lugano goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026Argentino RosarioHome2–3Lost
26 Sep 2026Deportivo ParaguayoAway1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026Estrella Del SurHome1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Leones de RosarioHome0–0Draw
06 Sep 2026Puerto NuevoAway1–0Won
Lugano detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lugano performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home5
Wins away6
Wins total11
Draws home8
Draws away5
Draws total13
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home9
Clean sheet away7
Clean sheet total16
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Lugano goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away16
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.43%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.71%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away15
Goals against total28
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Mercedes predictions and analysis, Lugano match tips, or more Primera C predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.