Independiente vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga Profesional Argentina, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga Profesional Argentina

VS

Final result0–1

Libertadores de America

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Boca JuniorsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
IndependienteProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Boca JuniorsProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Boca Juniors
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndependienteBoca Juniors
Form32.0%68.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson36.0%64.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total37.2%62.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Independiente

Recent form (last 5): D W L D D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Boca Juniors

Recent form (last 5): W W W D W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Boca Juniors 1–1 Independiente (12 Apr 2026)
  2. Boca Juniors 0–1 Independiente (20 May 2025)
  3. Boca Juniors 0–0 Independiente (14 Dec 2024)
  4. Independiente 0–2 Boca Juniors (29 Jul 2023)
  5. Boca Juniors 0–0 Independiente (08 Jan 2023)
  6. Boca Juniors 2–2 Independiente (23 Oct 2022)
  7. Independiente 2–2 Boca Juniors (27 Feb 2022)
  8. Independiente 1–0 Boca Juniors (25 Nov 2021)
  9. Independiente 1–1 Boca Juniors (29 Mar 2021)
  10. Independiente 1–2 Boca Juniors (20 Dec 2020)

Independiente recent matches

Scores below are shown as Independiente goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Racing ClubAway1–1Draw
12 Oct 2026Talleres CordobaAway0–0Draw
03 Oct 2026Instituto CordobaHome1–4Lost
19 Sep 2026Union Santa FeAway2–1Won
14 Sep 2026San LorenzoHome1–1Draw
Independiente detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Independiente performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total30
Wins home5
Wins away6
Wins total11
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Independiente goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away19
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.03%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.32%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away18
Goals against total36
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.92%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Boca Juniors recent matches

Scores below are shown as Boca Juniors goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026Vasco DA GamaAway3–1Won
17 Oct 2026Talleres CordobaHome2–1Won
14 Oct 2026Vasco DA GamaHome0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026Instituto CordobaAway2–2Draw
03 Oct 2026Union Santa FeHome3–0Won
Boca Juniors detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Boca Juniors performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home8
Wins away6
Wins total14
Draws home6
Draws away6
Draws total12
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Boca Juniors goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away24
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.78%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 106-120 · total1
Goals for minute · 106-120 · percentage2.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away17
Goals against total26
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage30.77%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage19.23%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Independiente predictions and analysis, Boca Juniors match tips, or more Liga Profesional Argentina predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.