Zvijezda Gradačac vs Jedinstvo Bihać Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a double chance on Zvijezda Gradačac or draw, with probabilities of 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects a marginal rather than decisive edge. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Jedinstvo Bihać lead form 67 to 33 and attack 80 to 20, while defence is level at 50 apiece. The Poisson and head-to-head figures pull the other way, favouring Zvijezda at 63 versus 38 and 60 versus 40, which helps explain why the model still shades the home side despite the weaker form and attack inputs. The goals comparison is similarly mixed, with Zvijezda ahead 56 to 44 but Jedinstvo ahead on the total measure 53.2 to 47, suggesting no clear territorial dominance. Zvijezda's own record is poor, with one win, one draw and four defeats from six, and all four losses coming away from home, while their home form shows one win, one draw and no defeats. Jedinstvo's record is more stable at two wins, three draws and one defeat, but their wins came at home and all three away matches were drawn, so their unbeaten away profile is built on parity rather than victories. The goals analysis reinforces that contrast, as Zvijezda average only 0.50 goals per game overall and failed to score in four of six, whereas Jedinstvo average 2.30 and have scored in five of six. The last-five records show Zvijezda with one win, one draw and three defeats, including three 1-0 losses, while Jedinstvo have two wins, two draws and one defeat, with a 5-0 and a 4-0 home win but a 0-1 home loss most recently. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to Jedinstvo's form, since Zvijezda have won six of the ten meetings, including 5-0, 5-3 and 3-0 at home, although Jedinstvo won the most recent meeting 2-1 and have also recorded a 6-1 home win in this series. Overall, the evidence supports a cautious double chance rather than a confident home win, because Zvijezda's home resilience and head-to-head edge are offset by Jedinstvo's superior form, attack and away unbeaten run.

Predicted winner

Zvijezda Gradačac

Betting advice

Double chance : Zvijezda Gradačac or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Jedinstvo Bihać 2–1 Zvijezda Gradačac (05 Apr 2025)
2. Zvijezda Gradačac 1–0 Jedinstvo Bihać (14 Sep 2024)
3. Zvijezda Gradačac 5–0 Jedinstvo Bihać (13 Apr 2024)
4. Jedinstvo Bihać 0–2 Zvijezda Gradačac (16 Sep 2023)
5. Jedinstvo Bihać 6–1 Zvijezda Gradačac (20 May 2023)