Russia · Second League - Group 2
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver Prediction
· Stadion Nova Arena
Match prediction
- Tver's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head scores support the away side, but the model still assigns equal 45% draw and away probabilities.
- The draw's equal 45% share reflects Zvezda's nine draws in 22 matches, making the double chance advice more robust than a straight Tver win.
- Zvezda's five-match winless run, including three straight home defeats, sharply weakens their case despite home advantage.
- Tver's away record is modest with only two wins from eleven, so their overall form edge may not fully translate on the road.
- Head-to-head history favours Tver with seven wins in ten meetings, reinforcing the away-leaning double chance.
- Both teams concede around 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a competitive match where the draw remains a live outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Tver
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Tver
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Zvezda St. Petersburg | Tver |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Poisson | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Zvezda St. Petersburg
Recent form: DDLWDDLLDDWLWDDWLDLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Tver
Recent form: WLLWLDLLLWLLLWWWLWLDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Tver 1–2 Zvezda St. Petersburg (14 Jun 2026)
- Tver 1–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg (21 Sep 2025)
- Zvezda St. Petersburg 2–3 Tver (31 May 2025)
- Tver 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg (29 Sep 2024)
- Zvezda St. Petersburg 2–4 Tver (13 Jun 2024)