Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Zug vs Courtételle Prediction

Zug badgeZug vs Courtételle badgeCourtételle

Match prediction

  • Courtételle's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack underpin the model's 45% away win probability, though Zug's stronger recent form complicates that edge.
  • The draw carries equal 45% probability, explaining why the double chance rather than a straight away win is the advised position.
  • Zug's leaky defence, conceding 3.4 goals per away game, contrasts with Courtételle's balanced 2.0 scoring and 1.3 conceding averages.
  • Courtételle's three clean sheets and higher win total reflect a more complete side than Zug's two wins and single clean sheet.
  • Zug's home form is modest but not negligible, with one win and one draw from three, keeping the 10% home probability from being dismissed entirely.
  • Both sides show recent volatility, so the model's near-even split between draw and away win reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite.
Predicted winner
Courtételle
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Courtételle
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorZugCourtételle
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack39.0%61.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals13.0%88.0%
Total37.8%62.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Zug

Recent form: LLLWDLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Courtételle

Recent form: DWWWLLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Courtételle 4–1 Zug (02 May 2026)
  2. Zug 0–3 Courtételle (25 Oct 2025)
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