Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2
Zug vs Courtételle Prediction
Zug vs
Courtételle
Match prediction
- Courtételle's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack underpin the model's 45% away win probability, though Zug's stronger recent form complicates that edge.
- The draw carries equal 45% probability, explaining why the double chance rather than a straight away win is the advised position.
- Zug's leaky defence, conceding 3.4 goals per away game, contrasts with Courtételle's balanced 2.0 scoring and 1.3 conceding averages.
- Courtételle's three clean sheets and higher win total reflect a more complete side than Zug's two wins and single clean sheet.
- Zug's home form is modest but not negligible, with one win and one draw from three, keeping the 10% home probability from being dismissed entirely.
- Both sides show recent volatility, so the model's near-even split between draw and away win reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite.
- Predicted winner
- Courtételle
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Courtételle
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Zug | Courtételle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Zug
Recent form: LLLWDLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Courtételle
Recent form: DWWWLLWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Courtételle 4–1 Zug (02 May 2026)
- Zug 0–3 Courtételle (25 Oct 2025)
