4. liga - Divizie D · Czech-Republic

Znojmo vs Velká Bíteš Prediction

· Mestsky stadion v Hornim parku

Znojmo badgeZnojmo vs Velká Bíteš badgeVelká Bíteš

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward Znojmo with a double chance of Znojmo or draw, assigning 45% to a home win, 45% to a draw, and only 10% to a Velká Bíteš victory, so the advice is essentially a bet against an away win rather than a strong call on the home side. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where Znojmo's form score of 48.00 actually trails Velká Bíteš's 52.00, even though Znojmo dominates attack (67.00 vs 33.00), defence (25.00 vs 75.00), Poisson (81.00 vs 19.00), head-to-head (71.00 vs 29.00), goals (67.00 vs 33.00), and total (59.80 vs 40.20). The form conflict is worth noting because both teams have identical seven-game records of four wins, two draws, and one loss, meaning the small form gap reflects sequencing rather than a real quality difference. Znojmo's underlying numbers are far more convincing: they have scored 16 goals at 2.30 per game while conceding only 7 at 1.00, with a remarkable 0.30 goals-against average at home, whereas Velká Bíteš have scored just 8 at 1.10 per game and conceded 6 at 0.90. Znojmo's last five show three wins, a draw, and a loss, including a 6-1 away rout of FS Třebíč and home clean sheets against Žďár nad Sázavou and Sparta Brno, though the 4-2 defeat at Chotebor is a reminder of their away vulnerability. Velká Bíteš's last five are more modest but defensively solid, with two 2-0 home wins, two goalless or low-scoring draws, and a 2-1 home loss to Slovácko, giving them five clean sheets across seven league games compared with Znojmo's three. The head-to-head record is the clearest qualifier on the prediction, since the two most recent meetings in this league both finished 1-1, and the only decisive result was a 2-0 Znojmo friendly win back in 2022, so there is no recent evidence that Znojmo can break down this opponent. Taken together, the evidence supports the double chance mainly because Velká Bíteš's low scoring rate makes an away win unlikely, but the draw's equal 45% probability and the pair of recent 1-1 head-to-head draws suggest the model is right to hedge rather than favour a Znojmo win outright.

Predicted winner
Znojmo
Betting advice
Double chance : Znojmo or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorZnojmoVelká Bíteš
Form48.0%52.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson81.0%19.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total59.8%40.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Znojmo

Recent form: DWDWWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Velká Bíteš

Recent form: LWWDWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Znojmo 1–1 Velká Bíteš (01 May 2026)
  2. Velká Bíteš 1–1 Znojmo (28 Sep 2025)
  3. Znojmo 2–0 Velká Bíteš (20 Jul 2022)
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