Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home win probability is only level with the draw, so the winner advice carries clear uncertainty despite Znicz's superior form and attack metrics.
• Znicz's strong form and Poisson edge support the home pick, but the head-to-head record favouring Stal Stalowa Wola tempers that confidence.
• Stal's away record is poor, with four defeats in five, which reinforces the case for the home side despite the modest probability gap.
• Znicz's away scoring average of 3.30 goals per game contrasts sharply with their home average, suggesting venue may not fully explain their attacking output.
• Stal's defensive vulnerability on the road, conceding 2.40 goals per away game, aligns with the model's lean toward a Znicz win.
• The equal 45% split between home win and draw indicates the advice is a marginal call rather than a strong conviction.

Predicted winner

Znicz Pruszków

Betting advice

Winner : Znicz Pruszków

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Stal Stalowa Wola 0–5 Znicz Pruszków (09 May 2025)
2. Znicz Pruszków 0–1 Stal Stalowa Wola (02 Nov 2024)
3. Stal Stalowa Wola 2–0 Znicz Pruszków (27 Sep 2023)
4. Stal Stalowa Wola 2–1 Znicz Pruszków (23 Nov 2019)
5. Znicz Pruszków 4–1 Stal Stalowa Wola (03 Aug 2019)